Colorado Avalanche vs Minnesota Wild Prediction, 5/11/2026 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Colorado Avalanche vs Minnesota Wild

Date: Monday, May 11, 2026

Location: Grand Casino Arena in Saint Paul, MN

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Avalanche (-130) Wild (+110)

The Minnesota Wild (46-24-12) will go up against the Colorado Avalanche (55-16-11) at Grand Casino Arena on Monday in Game 4 of the Western Conference Semifinals. Colorado leads 2-1. The odds on this game have Colorado at -130 and Minnesota is sitting at +110. The over/under comes in at 6.5.

The Colorado Avalanche lost Game 3 by a score of 5-1. Colorado garnered 8 mins in the box in this game. The Avalanche didn't have a great showing offensively in this defeat. They also had 3 power play opportunities and were able to score 1 goal. In the outing, they finished 1 out of the 36 shots they launched.

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When it comes to their goal scoring prowess, the Colorado Avalanche have tallied 298 goals (1st in the NHL) so far this season and have allowed 197. For the year, they have recorded 121 points and their points percentage is sitting at .738. Colorado has compiled 263 power play chances and they have tallied 45 goals out of those tries, giving them a rate of 17.11%. When playing at even strength, the Avalanche let the opposition score 161 goals while earning 253 of their own. Colorado has taken 2,766 shots and has a shot percentage of 10.8%. The Avalanche so far have had 2,144 shots tried against them and hold a save percentage of .908. Colorado Avalanche opponents have recorded 234 power play opportunities (18th in hockey) and have come away with 36 goals in those chances.

The man protecting the goal in this game is Scott Wedgewood. Opponents have notched 499 goals versus Wedgewood in his professional hockey career and his average for goals against per game is 2.79. Wedgewood has taken the ice for 199 games during his professional hockey career. His save percentage currently sits at .909 during his 8,268 mins played. He has a record of 93-60-30 and was named the starter in 179 games. For his career, Wedgewood has accrued 99 quality starts and his quality starts percentage sits at .553. Wedgewood has seen 5,498 shot attempts taken against him and has recorded 4,999 total saves.

Minnesota dominated in every aspect of Game 3. The Wild had 5 goals of the 26 shots on goal they were seeking. They had 3 attempts on the power play in this one and notched 2 out of those opportunities.

The Wild are sitting with 203 goals at even strength and 65 goals (3rd in pro hockey) while on the power play. Minnesota has taken 2,393 shots (7th in professional hockey) and has earned a shooting percentage of 11.20%, while allowing their opponents 2,410 shots. During this campaign, the Minnesota Wild have a total of 268 goals, 104 points, and a points percentage of .634. They have granted a total of 235 goals to be scored by of a combination of 192 goals at even strength and 43 goals while they were shorthanded. They have a tally of 258 chances on the power play and they have earned a power play rate of 25.19%. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 79.81% on their opponents 213 opportunities on the power play, and their save percentage sits at 90.2%.

On the other side of the ice you will find Jesper Wallstedt in net. Wallstedt has amassed a career mark of 20-12-6 and has played in 40 games. Wallstedt's quality start percentage sits at 65.8% and he has accumulated 25 quality starting assignments in his pro career. He is sitting with 1,054 saves out of 1,158 shots tried, giving him a save % of .910. The opposition is averaging 2.74 goals/game and he has yielded 104 goals altogether. He has started in 38 games and his ice time sits at 348 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy's Pick: Take Minnesota (+110)

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