Dallas Stars vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction, 3/29/2026 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Dallas Stars vs Philadelphia Flyers

Date: Sunday, March 29, 2026

Location: Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

The Dallas Stars (43-18-11) are traveling to Xfinity Mobile Arena on Sunday where they will meet the Philadelphia Flyers (35-24-12).

The Dallas Stars will need a bounce back game after taking a 2-1 loss to the Islanders their last time on the ice. Dallas amassed 6 minutes in the box for this contest. Additionally, they had 2 attempts on the power play but didn't get a goal. The Stars had an offensive game that was below their expectations in the defeat. In the outing, they finished 1 of the 27 shots they attempted.

When playing at even strength, the Stars have given up 153 goals while having 177 when they are on offense. Dallas Stars opponents have tallied 218 power play opportunities (10th in the league) and have a total of 41 goals in those attempts. In the matter of their scoring capabilities, the Dallas Stars have earned 240 goals (8th in the NHL) so far this season and have given up 194. Dallas has tried 1,852 shots and has a shooting percentage of 13.0%. For the season, they have tallied 97 points and their points percentage sits at .674. The Stars thus far have had 1,911 shots attempted against them and hold a save percentage of .898. Dallas comes into the game with 219 power play chances and they have scored 63 goals out of those tries, garnering them a rate of 28.77%.

The man in net for this game is Casey DeSmith. In his professional hockey career, DeSmith has earned 105 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .550. He has a save percentage of .910 for his 10,136 mins between the pipes. DeSmith has seen 6,072 shots taken against him and has accrued 5,524 saves. The opposition has racked up 548 goals against DeSmith in his professional hockey career and his goals against average is 2.87. He has amassed a record of 98-68-28 and got the start in 191 games. DeSmith has been involved in 217 contests over the course of his pro hockey career.

When they took the ice last, Philadelphia played the Blackhawks in an outing where the Flyers got the victory by a final score of 5-1. They had 4 attempts on the power play in this matchup but didn't put one in the back of the net. The Flyers had 5 goals of the 42 shots on goal they were seeking.

Philadelphia has attempted 1,804 shots (29th in professional hockey) and has a shooting percentage of 11.09%, while allowing their opponents 1,827 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 78.44% on the other teams 218 chances on the power play, and their save percentage sits at 88.5%. They have earned 207 chances on the power play and they have earned a power play rate of 14.49%. The Flyers are sitting with 170 goals at even strength and 30 goals (31st in hockey) while having a power play advantage. They have granted a total of 211 goals to be scored by way of 164 goals at even strength and 47 goals while they had less men on the ice. This season, the Philadelphia Flyers have earned a total of 200 goals, 82 points, in addition to a points percentage of .577.

Across the rink you are going to see Samuel Ersson patrolling the crease. He has compiled 2,968 saves out of 3,357 shots taken against him, giving him a save percentage of .884. Ersson has a career record of 63-49-17 and has played in 139 contests. He has started in 130 games and his ice time sits at 5,899 mins. Ersson's quality start rate comes out to 46.9% and he has made 61 quality starting assignments in his pro hockey career. His opposition is averaging 2.99 goals per game and he has relinquished 389 goals altogether.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh's Pick: Take Philadelphia

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