Dallas Stars vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction, 10/10/2026 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Dallas Stars vs Pittsburgh Penguins

Date: Saturday, October 10, 2026

Location: PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: Amazon Prime, Sportsnet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Stars (-155) Penguins (+130)

The Pittsburgh Penguins (2-2-0) are welcoming the Dallas Stars (2-2-0) at PPG Paints Arena on Saturday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Stars at -155 while the Penguins are coming in at +130. The over/under is 6.5.

The Dallas Stars were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 4-0 victory against the Sabres their last time out. Dallas tallied 6 penalty minutes in this outing. Moreover, they had 2 power play opportunities and were able to notch 1 goal. The Stars had a solid offensive output and it showed in the victory. For the game, they tallied a score on 4 out of the 18 shots they attempted.

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When playing at even strength, the Stars have conceded 4 goals while having 9 as an offensive unit. Dallas Stars opponents have tallied 12 power play opportunities (22nd in the NHL) and have a total of 2 goals in those chances. When talking about scoring goals, the Dallas Stars have notched 10 goals (22nd in pro hockey) so far this season and have conceded 6. Dallas has taken 99 shots and has a shooting percentage of 10.1%. For the season, they have recorded 4 points and their points percentage is .500. The Stars have had 89 shots taken against them and have earned a save percentage of .933. Dallas has 10 power play opportunities and they have notched 1 goal out of those advantages, giving them a rate of 10.00%.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Jake Oettinger. Oettinger has participated in 308 games during his NHL career. He has accumulated a record of 186-79-33 and he has gotten the start in 299 games. Opponents have racked up 748 goals versus Oettinger in his pro career and his average for goals against per game is 2.50. Oettinger has had 8,337 shot attempts taken against him and he has 7,590 saves. He has a save percentage of .910 in his 17,652 mins between the pipes. For his career, Oettinger has 176 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .589.

The last time they were on the ice, Pittsburgh played the Capitals in a matchup where the Penguins ended up taking the loss by a mark of 5-3. The Penguins scored 3 goals out of the 30 shots on goal they took. They had 3 power play opportunities in this one but were not able to net one.

The Penguins have earned 14 goals at even strength and 4 goals (10th in hockey) while on the power play. Pittsburgh has taken 129 shots (6th in the league) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 13.95%, while allowing their opponents 106 shots. This season, the Pittsburgh Penguins have earned a total of 18 goals, 4 points, and a points percentage of .500. They have permitted 13 goals to be scored by way of 12 goals at even strength and 1 goal while they were shorthanded. They have recorded 13 power play opportunities and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 30.77%. They have recorded a penalty kill percentage of 90.00% on their opponents 10 power play opportunities, and their save percentage is currently 87.7%.

Across the ice you will find Sergei Murashov protecting the net. His opponents are averaging 3.00 goals/game and he has given up 15 goals altogether. Murashov's quality start percentage sits at 40.0% and he has accumulated 2 quality starts in his pro career. He has started in 5 games and his ice time sits at 13 minutes. Murashov has accrued a career record of 1-2-2 and has participated in 6 contests. He has accrued 136 saves out of the 151 shots taken, giving him a save % of .901.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Dallas (-155)

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