Dallas Stars vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction, 3/28/2026 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Dallas Stars vs Pittsburgh Penguins

Date: Saturday, March 28, 2026

Location: PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: Sportsnet Pittsburgh

PPG Paints Arena is the location where the Pittsburgh Penguins (36-20-16) will meet the Dallas Stars (43-18-11) on Saturday.

The Dallas Stars will look for better times on the ice after their 2-1 loss against the Islanders in their previous game. The Stars offense left a lot to be desired in this defeat. For the outing, they were able to notch a goal on 1 of the 27 shots they put on goal. Additionally, they had 2 opportunities with more players on the ice but weren't able to score. Dallas garnered 6 penalty minutes in this game.

When at even strength, the Stars have surrendered 153 goals while notching 177 on the offensive side of the ice. Dallas Stars opponents have 218 power play opportunities (10th in professional hockey) and have come away with 41 goals in those chances. In regard to their goal scoring prowess, the Dallas Stars have notched 240 goals (8th in hockey) for the season and have given up 194. Dallas has taken 1,852 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 13.0%. For the current season, they have earned 97 points and their points % is .674. The Stars have had 1,911 shots taken against them and have a save percentage of .898. Dallas has accounted for 219 power play opportunities and they have added 63 goals during those advantages, giving them a rate of 28.77%.

The player between the pipes for this game is Jake Oettinger. Opponents have been able to score 729 goals versus Oettinger in his pro career and his goals against average per game is 2.52. Oettinger has played in 298 games during his pro hockey career. His save percentage currently is .910 for his 13,418 minutes between the pipes. He has earned a mark of 178-77-33 and he has started in 289 games. Over the course of his pro career, Oettinger has 171 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .592. Oettinger has had 8,123 shot attempts taken against him and has recorded 7,394 saves.

In their last game, Pittsburgh went up against the Senators in a game where the Penguins got the tie by a final score of 3-3. The Penguins tallied 3 goals out of the 38 shots on goal they tried. They had 2 opportunities on the power play in this game and recorded 1 out of those opportunities.

Pittsburgh has tried 2,098 shots (8th in pro hockey) and has a shot percentage of 11.63%, while allowing their opponents 1,976 shots. They have accumulated a penalty kill percentage of 82.63% on the other teams 213 power play tries, and their save percentage is currently 89.0%. They have recorded 205 chances on the power play and they have earned a power play rate of 24.39%. The Penguins have earned 194 goals at even strength and 50 goals (10th in hockey) while on the power play. They have permitted 218 goals to be scored by of a combination of 181 goals at even strength and 37 goals while they were shorthanded. On the campaign, the Pittsburgh Penguins have accounted for 244 goals, 88 points, as well as a points percentage of .611.

On the other side of the ice you are likely to see Stuart Skinner protecting the goal. He has recorded 4,852 stops out of 5,369 shots tried, giving him a save percentage of .904. Skinner has amassed a career mark of 108-60-19 and has played in 195 games. He has started in 189 games and has been on the ice for 9,275 mins. Skinner's rate of quality starts is 56.6% and he has 107 quality starting assignments in his professional career. His opposition is averaging 2.74 goals/game and he has yielded 517 goals overall.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Dallas

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