Dallas Stars vs Washington Capitals Prediction, 1/7/2026 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Dallas Stars vs Washington Capitals

Date: Wednesday, January 7, 2026

Location: Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C.

TV: Monumental Sports Network

The Dallas Stars (25-9-8) are hitting the road to Capital One Arena on Wednesday where they will meet the Washington Capitals (22-15-6).

The Dallas Stars will be looking to get a win in their next outing after their 4-3 loss to the Canadiens their last time out. Dallas compiled 10 penalty minutes for this game. Additionally, they had 3 power play attempts but weren't able to convert one of them into a goal. The Stars had a middle of the road showing in the loss. In the game, they tallied a score on 3 out of the 27 shots they put on net.

When at even strength, the Stars let the opposition score 90 goals while having 106 of their own. Dallas Stars opponents have amassed 134 power play tries (7th in the league) and have a total of 24 goals in those attempts. With regard to their goal scoring prowess, the Dallas Stars have accounted for 143 goals (2nd in the NHL) this season and have allowed 114. Dallas has attempted 1,065 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 13.4%. For the year, they have tallied 58 points and their points percentage sits at .690. The Stars have seen 1,173 shots taken against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .903. Dallas comes into the game with 127 power play chances and they have added 37 goals during those advantages, giving them a percentage of 29.13%.

The man in goal for this game is Casey DeSmith. Over the course of his career, DeSmith has earned 99 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .547. His save percentage currently is .910 for his 10,108 minutes in the crease. DeSmith has seen 5,810 shots taken against him and has accrued 5,288 saves. Opponents have tallied 522 goals against DeSmith in his pro career and his goals against average per game is 2.88. He has amassed a mark of 93-63-27 and he started in 181 games. DeSmith has been involved in 205 games over the course of his pro hockey career.

Their last time out, Washington went up against the Ducks in a matchup where the Capitals earned a win by a final of 7-4. They had 2 opportunities on the power play in this outing but weren't able to notch a goal. The Capitals notched 7 goals out of the 29 shots on goal they took.

For the year, the Washington Capitals have earned 142 goals, 50 points, and a points percentage of .581. They have allowed 120 goals to be scored by of a combination of 89 goals at even strength and 31 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Capitals have accumulated 123 goals at even strength and 19 goals (27th in hockey) while having a power play advantage. They have recorded 122 power play chances and they have a power play rate of 15.57%. Washington has taken 1,262 shots (4th in hockey) and has earned a shooting percentage of 11.25%, while allowing their opponents 1,216 shots. They have accumulated a penalty kill percentage of 76.87% on their oppositions 134 opportunities on the power play, and their save percentage currently comes in at 90.1%.

Across the ice you are going to see Logan Thompson protecting the goal. Thompson has a lifetime record of 102-49-21 and has been in net for 176 games. Thompson's percentage of quality starts comes out to 62.3% and he has qualified for 104 quality starting assignments in his professional career. He has racked up 4,553 saves out of 4,992 shots attempted against him, giving him a save percentage of .912. Teams are averaging 2.63 goals/game and he has yielded 439 goals overall. He has started in 167 games and his ice time sits at 7,812 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Dallas

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