Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 11/3/2026 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Tuesday, November 3, 2026

Location: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: Detroit SportsNet, WXPX-TV

Odds/Point Spread: Red Wings (+225) Lightning (-278)

Benchmark International Arena is the location where the Tampa Bay Lightning (8-3-2) will meet the Detroit Red Wings (6-5-3) on Tuesday. The odds on this game have the Red Wings at +225 and the Lightning are coming in at -278. The over/under is 6.5.

The Detroit Red Wings will look for better times on the ice after their 5-4 loss against the Blues in their previous game. Detroit accrued 6 minutes in the box in this matchup. The Red Wings had a great offensive game plan going into this one and it showed in the loss. Furthermore, they had 2 chances with extra men on the ice and scored 1 goal. In the game, they scored on 4 out of the 28 shots they launched.

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Detroit Red Wings opponents have 45 power play tries (18th in the NHL) and have come away with 14 goals in those chances. The Red Wings have seen 342 shots attempted against them and hold a save percentage of .880. Detroit has taken 416 shots and has a shooting percentage of 9.4%. At even strength, the Red Wings let the opposition score 27 goals while scoring 28 on offense. Detroit skates onto the rink with 48 power play chances and they have notched 11 goals out of those attempts, giving them a percentage of 22.92%. For the current campaign, they have recorded 15 points and their points percentage is .536. In terms of their scoring, the Detroit Red Wings have racked up 39 goals (25th in the league) over the course of the season and have allowed 41.

The player between the pipes for this game is Daniil Tarasov. In his career, Tarasov has earned 48 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .505. His save percentage is at .898 in his 235 mins played. Tarasov has had 2,988 shot attempts taken against him and has accrued 2,684 total saves. Opponents have been able to score 304 goals versus Tarasov in his NHL career and his average for goals against per game is 3.20. He has accumulated a mark of 33-49-11 and he has started in 95 games. Tarasov has taken the ice for 102 contests over the course of his pro hockey career.

In their last contest, Tampa Bay played the Predators in a matchup where the Lightning got the tie by a mark of 4-4. They had 3 opportunities on the power play in this game but were not able to net one. The Lightning converted 4 goals of the 26 shots on goal they pursued.

Tampa Bay has attempted 391 shots (17th in professional hockey) and has accumulated a shot percentage of 12.28%, while allowing the opposition 324 shots. They have accumulated a penalty kill percentage of 77.14% on the other teams 35 power play opportunities, and their save percentage is 87.0%. They have a total of 46 power play chances and they have earned a power play percentage of 15.22%. The Lightning have 41 goals at even strength and 7 goals (24th in professional hockey) while on the power play. They have permitted 42 goals to be scored by way of 34 goals at even strength and 8 goals while they had less men on the ice. So far this season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have earned 48 goals, 18 points, as well as a points percentage of .692.

Across the ice you are likely to see Andrei Vasilevskiy in goal. Teams are averaging 2.50 goals per game and he has allowed 1,493 goals in total. Vasilevskiy's quality start percentage sits at 58.8% and he has qualified for 351 quality starts in his NHL career. He got the starting nod in 597 games and his ice time sits at 23 mins. Vasilevskiy is the owner of a career record of 375-181-40 and has been in goal for 607 contests. He has gathered 16,322 saves out of the 17,812 shots taken against him, giving him a save % of .916.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh's Pick: Take Detroit (+225)

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