Florida Panthers vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, 10/21/2026 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Florida Panthers vs Ottawa Senators

Date: Wednesday, October 21, 2026

Location: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON

TV: Scripps Sports Local, TSN5

Odds/Point Spread: Panthers (-104) Senators (-105)

The Ottawa Senators (6-3-0) welcome the Florida Panthers (5-2-2) at Canadian Tire Centre on Wednesday. The moneyline on this matchup has Florida at -104 while Ottawa is at -105. The total is set at 5.5.

The Florida Panthers were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 8-3 victory against the Kraken in the last game they played. Florida recorded 8 penalty minutes in this game. They also had 3 power play opportunities and were able to notch 2 goals. The Panthers had a solid offensive performance and it showed in this victory. For the game, they earned a goal on 8 of the 37 shots they looked to score on.

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Florida Panthers opponents have amassed 36 power play opportunities (2nd in the NHL) and have tallied 7 goals in those attempts. The Panthers thus far have had 216 shots attempted against them and have a save percentage of .884. Florida has tried 264 shots and has a shooting percentage of 11.4%. At even strength, the Panthers have surrendered 18 goals while scoring 21 when they are on offense. Florida steps onto the ice with 43 power play chances and they have tallied 9 goals during those advantages, garnering them a rate of 20.93%. For the current campaign, they have scored 12 points and their points % is .667. In relation to their goal scoring prowess, the Florida Panthers have earned 30 goals (11th in the National Hockey League) over the course of the season and have allowed 25.

The man in goal for this game is Akira Schmid. Opponents have been able to score 201 goals versus Schmid in his pro hockey career and his goals against average per contest is 2.96. Schmid has been in net for 86 matchups over the course of his NHL career. His save percentage is at .897 for his 186 minutes guarding the cage. He has earned an overall record of 34-29-11 and he started in 68 games. Throughout his time in hockey, Schmid has accumulated 29 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .426. Schmid has seen 1,958 shots taken against him and has garnered 1,757 total saves.

When they took the ice last, Ottawa went up against the Flyers in an outing where the Senators took a loss by a tally of 3-1. The Senators converted 1 goal of the 26 shots on goal they took. They had 2 opportunities on the power play in this game but weren't able to score a goal.

For the year, the Ottawa Senators have earned 22 goals, 12 points, and a points percentage of .667. They have permitted 23 goals to be scored by way of 16 goals at even strength and 7 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Senators have racked up 17 goals at even strength and 5 goals (19th in professional hockey) while on the power play. They have recorded 39 power play chances and they have earned a power play percentage of 12.82%. Ottawa has attempted 208 shots (23rd in professional hockey) and has earned a shooting percentage of 10.58%, while allowing the opposition 236 shots. They have a penalty kill percentage of 79.41% on their opponents 34 power play opportunities, and their save percentage currently sits at 90.3%.

Across the ice you will find Linus Ullmark in net. The opposition is averaging 2.52 goals per contest and he has relinquished 850 goals in total. Ullmark's quality start rate comes in at 63.5% and he has 214 quality starting assignments in his NHL career. He got the starting nod in 337 contests and has played for a total of 19,656 minutes. Ullmark has accrued a career mark of 197-100-34 and has been in goal for 347 games. He has compiled 9,074 saves out of 9,922 shots attempted, giving him a save % of .915.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Florida (-104)

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