Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 2/5/2026 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Thursday, February 5, 2026

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: WXPX-TV

The Florida Panthers (28-24-3) are headed to Amalie Arena on Thursday where they will try to beat the Tampa Bay Lightning (35-14-4).

The Florida Panthers were on the wrong end of the scoreboard with a 5-3 loss to the Sabres their last time on the ice. The Panthers had a middle of the road showing in the defeat. In the game, they earned a goal on 3 of the 41 shots they tried. Furthermore, they had 4 attempts on the power play and were able to notch 1 goal. Florida had 6 penalty mins in this outing.

While at even strength, the Panthers have conceded 147 goals while notching 128 on the offensive side of the ice. Florida Panthers opponents have tallied 190 power play opportunities (2nd in professional hockey) and have scored 33 goals in those attempts. With regard to their goal scoring prowess, the Florida Panthers have notched 165 goals (20th in the NHL) this season and have allowed 180. Florida has tried 1,592 shots and is the owner of a shot percentage of 10.4%. For the season, they have recorded 59 points and their points percentage comes in at .536. The Panthers so far have had 1,412 shots taken against them and hold a save percentage of .873. Florida has 200 power play chances and they have scored 37 goals out of those tries, garnering them a rate of 18.50%.

The player protecting the goal in this game is Sergei Bobrovsky. Over the course of his time in hockey, Bobrovsky has recorded 448 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .576. His save percentage currently sits at .913 for his 40,055 mins between the pipes. Bobrovsky has seen 22,701 shot attempts against him and has recorded 20,717 saves. The opposition has racked up 1,984 goals against Bobrovsky in his career and his goals against rate is 2.55. He has earned an overall record of 449-260-58 and got the start in 778 games. Bobrovsky has been in net for 792 matchups throughout his professional hockey career.

The last time they were on the ice, Tampa Bay went up against the Bruins in a game where the Lightning got the tie by a score of 5-5. They had 8 power play chances in this contest and earned 3 out of those tries. The Lightning recorded 5 goals out of the 46 shots on goal they took.

On the year, the Tampa Bay Lightning have notched a total of 185 goals, 74 points, as well as a points percentage of .698. They have allowed 134 goals to be scored by of a combination of 108 goals at even strength and 26 goals while they were shorthanded. The Lightning have accumulated 148 goals at even strength and 37 goals (12th in professional hockey) while on the power play. They have earned 168 opportunities on the power play and they have earned a power play percentage of 22.02%. Tampa Bay has taken 1,485 shots (22nd in pro hockey) and has a shot percentage of 12.46%, while allowing the other team 1,389 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill percentage of 84.24% on their oppositions 165 power play opportunities, and their save percentage currently comes in at 90.4%.

Across the rink you are going to see Andrei Vasilevskiy in the crease. Vasilevskiy is sitting with a career record of 356-170-38 and has been in goal for 575 games. Vasilevskiy's quality start percentage is 58.8% and he has made 332 quality starting assignments in his professional career. He has accrued 15,597 stops out of 17,006 shots attempted, which gives him a percentage of .917. The opposition is averaging 2.49 goals per game and he has allowed 1,409 goals altogether. He was named a starter in 565 contests and has accumulated 28,707 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy's Pick: Take Tampa Bay

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here