Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 3/24/2026 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Tuesday, March 24, 2026

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: WXPX-TV

Amalie Arena is the site where the Tampa Bay Lightning (43-21-4) will play the Minnesota Wild (40-19-12) on Tuesday.

The Minnesota Wild were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 2-1 win against the Stars their last time on the ice. Minnesota compiled 12 penalty mins for this matchup. Additionally, they had 2 power play opportunities but weren't able to score a goal. The Wild offense left a lot to be desired in the win. In the game, they tallied a score on 2 out of the 28 shots they put on net.

In reference to their goal scoring prowess, the Minnesota Wild have notched 229 goals (11th in pro hockey) on the season and have given up 197. For the season, they have tallied 92 points and their points percentage is sitting at .648. Minnesota comes into tonight with 232 power play chances and they have scored 57 goals during those advantages, garnering them a rate of 24.57%. While at even strength, the Wild let the opposition score 159 goals while getting 172 of their own. Minnesota has taken 2,070 shots and has a shooting percentage of 11.1%. The Wild thus far have had 2,114 shots tried against them and have a save percentage of .907. Minnesota Wild opponents have earned 186 power play tries (29th in pro hockey) and have racked up 38 goals in those chances.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Filip Gustavsson. The opposition has been able to score 543 goals versus Gustavsson in his professional career and his goals against average is 2.66. Gustavsson has taken the ice for 213 contests during his professional hockey career. He has a save percentage of .912 in his 9,066 mins in the crease. He has earned an overall record of 109-70-26 and he was named the starter in 204 games. For his professional hockey career, Gustavsson is sitting with 126 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .618. Gustavsson has had 6,199 shot attempts taken against him and has recorded 5,656 saves.

In their last outing, Tampa Bay faced off against the Oilers in a game where the Lightning got the victory by a tally of 5-2. They had 3 power play opportunities in this one and tallied 1 out of those chances. The Lightning notched 5 goals out of the 27 shots on goal they took.

The Lightning have accumulated 198 goals at even strength and 46 goals (13th in hockey) while having more men on the ice. Tampa Bay has put up 1,912 shots (20th in hockey) and has earned a shooting percentage of 12.76%, while allowing the opposition 1,832 shots. On the year, the Tampa Bay Lightning have accumulated 244 goals, 90 points, in addition to a points percentage of .662. They have permitted 186 goals to be scored by way of 148 goals at even strength and 38 goals while they were shorthanded. They have recorded 208 opportunities on the power play and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 22.12%. They have earned a penalty kill rate of 82.33% on their opponents 215 power play opportunities, and their save percentage currently comes in at 89.8%.

Across the ice you are likely to see Andrei Vasilevskiy in the crease. He has compiled 15,906 saves out of 17,349 shots attempted, which gives him a save percentage of .917. Vasilevskiy is the owner of a career mark of 364-175-38 and has played in 588 games. He has been a starter 578 games and has accumulated 28,738 minutes. Vasilevskiy's quality start rate is 58.8% and he has qualified for 340 quality starts in his career. Opponents are averaging 2.50 goals per game and he has conceded 1,443 goals in total.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy's Pick: Take Tampa Bay

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