Montreal Canadiens vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, 3/11/2026 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Montreal Canadiens vs Ottawa Senators

Date: Wednesday, March 11, 2026

Location: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON

TV: TSN5

The Montreal Canadiens (34-18-10) are headed to Canadian Tire Centre on Wednesday where they will meet the Ottawa Senators (32-22-9).

The Montreal Canadiens came out of this game feeling pretty good about themselves with a 4-3 win over the Kings in their previous contest . The Canadiens had a great offensive game plan going into this one and it showed in the victory. In the game, they scored on 4 of the 23 shots they put on net. Moreover, they had 1 opportunity with more players on the ice and were able to net 1 goal. Montreal recorded 6 penalty mins in this game.

In regard to their scoring, the Montreal Canadiens have racked up 220 goals (5th in hockey) this year and have given up 204. For the year, they have recorded 78 points and their points percentage sits at .629. Montreal steps onto the ice with 179 power play chances and they have tallied 45 goals out of those advantages, garnering them a rate of 25.14%. When playing at even strength, the Canadiens let the opposition score 157 goals while scoring 175 on the offensive side of the ice. Montreal has attempted 1,633 shots and holds a shot percentage of 13.5%. The Canadiens thus far have had 1,714 shots taken against them and have a save percentage of .881. Montreal Canadiens opponents have earned 201 power play opportunities (4th in the NHL) and have tallied 47 goals in those chances.

The player between the pipes for this game is Sam Montembeault. From the beginning of his pro career to now, Montembeault has tallied 108 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .512. He has a save percentage of .896 for his 10,977 mins played. Montembeault has had 6,729 shots taken against him and has recorded 6,031 total saves. Opponents have racked up 698 goals versus Montembeault in his professional career and his goals against average per contest is 3.31. He has accumulated an overall record of 90-92-32 and he has started in 211 games. Montembeault has played in 231 games during his NHL career.

In their last outing, Ottawa went up against the Canucks in a game where the Senators earned a victory by a score of 2-0. They had 4 power play chances in this one but weren't able to put one in the back of the net. The Senators scored 2 goals of the 24 shots on goal they took.

Ottawa has tried 1,808 shots (13th in professional hockey) and has a shooting percentage of 11.67%, while allowing the other team 1,532 shots. They have accumulated a penalty kill rate of 73.51% on the other teams 185 power play chances, and their save percentage is 87.1%. They have recorded 204 power play chances and they have earned a power play percentage of 23.04%. The Senators have racked up 164 goals at even strength and 47 goals (5th in professional hockey) while on the power play. They have granted a total of 198 goals to be scored by of a combination of 149 goals at even strength and 49 goals while they were shorthanded. Over the course of the season, the Ottawa Senators have tallied 211 goals, 73 points, and a points percentage of .579.

For the opposition you will find Linus Ullmark between the pipes. His opponents are averaging 2.56 goals per contest and he has relinquished 809 goals altogether. Ullmark's percentage of quality starts sits at 62.7% and he has 198 quality starts in his career. He has made the start in 316 games and has racked up 15,510 mins. Ullmark holds a career mark of 182-95-33 and has been in net for 326 games. He has recorded 8,602 saves out of the 9,411 shots taken, giving him a save percentage of .914.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Montreal

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