New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 10/17/2026 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: MSG Sportsnet, Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Islanders (+120) Maple Leafs (-142)

The New York Islanders (3-3-1) are on their way to Scotiabank Arena on Saturday where they will play the Toronto Maple Leafs (3-3-2). The odds on this game have the Islanders at +120 and the Maple Leafs open at -142. The total is set at 6.5.

The New York Islanders had a decent effort after finishing in a 1-1 tie against the Senators in their previous outing. New York had 8 penalty mins in this contest. Furthermore, they had 3 chances with the advantage but weren't able to net one. The Islanders offense left a lot to be desired in this game. For the matchup, they converted 1 out of the 21 shots they tried.

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Regarding their scoring, the New York Islanders have earned 20 goals (24th in the NHL) so far this season and have conceded 16. For the current season, they have scored 7 points and their points percentage is sitting at .500. New York comes into tonight with 22 power play opportunities and they have added 4 goals out of those attempts, giving them a rate of 18.18%. When playing at even strength, the Islanders have surrendered 12 goals while notching 16 themselves. New York has attempted 179 shots and is the owner of a shot percentage of 11.2%. The Islanders so far have had 181 shots attempted against them and hold a save percentage of .912. New York Islanders opponents have 27 power play tries (9th in the league) and have earned 4 goals in those attempts.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Ilya Sorokin. Throughout his time in hockey, Sorokin has accounted for 198 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .645. He has a save percentage of .915 during his 17,994 minutes guarding the cage. Sorokin has had 9,227 shot attempts against him and has recorded 8,443 saves. Opponents have been able to score 787 goals versus Sorokin in his pro career and his average for goals against per game is 2.56. He has compiled a mark of 157-115-38 and he has gotten the start in 307 games. Sorokin has taken the ice for 313 games throughout his professional hockey career.

When they took the ice last, Toronto faced the Sabres in an outing where the Maple Leafs took the defeat by a score of 5-4. They had 3 power play attempts in this matchup and earned 1 out of those chances. The Maple Leafs scored 4 goals out of the 30 shots on goal they were seeking.

So far this year, the Toronto Maple Leafs are sitting with 28 goals, 8 points, as well as a points percentage of .500. They have permitted 27 goals to be scored by of a combination of 26 goals at even strength and 1 goal while they had less men on the ice. The Maple Leafs have tallied 20 goals at even strength and 8 goals (5th in pro hockey) while having more men on the ice. They have a tally of 27 power play chances and they have a power play percentage of 29.63%. Toronto has put up 223 shots (7th in the league) and has earned a shot percentage of 12.56%, while allowing their opponents 243 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 96.15% on their oppositions 26 power play opportunities, and their save percentage comes in at 88.9%.

Across the rink you are likely to see Sergei Bobrovsky protecting the net. Opponents are averaging 2.56 goals/game and he has relinquished 2,039 goals in total. Bobrovsky's quality start percentage comes out to 57.5% and he has accumulated 458 quality starting assignments in his professional career. He got the starting nod in 796 games and has been on the ice for 13 minutes. Bobrovsky has amassed a career mark of 457-268-60 and has participated in 811 games. He has recorded 21,170 stops out of the 23,209 shots taken against him, giving him a save % of .912.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take New York (+120)

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