Ottawa Senators vs Calgary Flames Prediction, 3/5/2026 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Ottawa Senators vs Calgary Flames

Date: Thursday, March 5, 2026

Location: Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, AB

TV: Sportsnet

The Ottawa Senators (29-22-8) are hitting the road to Scotiabank Saddledome on Thursday where they will take on the Calgary Flames (24-28-7).

The Ottawa Senators were on the losing side of the ice with a 5-4 loss against the Oilers in their previous contest . The Senators had a great offensive game plan going into this one and it showed in the defeat. In the game, they finished 4 of the 21 shots they launched. Additionally, they had 3 chances with extra men on the ice and were able to net 1 goal. Ottawa accumulated 11 penalty minutes in this contest.

When talking about their goal scoring prowess, the Ottawa Senators have notched 194 goals (13th in the NHL) this year and have given up 188. For the year, they have 66 points and their points percentage comes in at .559. Ottawa is sitting with 191 power play opportunities and they have scored 45 goals out of those tries, giving them a rate of 23.56%. At even strength, the Senators have allowed the opponent to score 142 goals while getting 149 on the offensive side of the ice. Ottawa has attempted 1,690 shots and has a shot percentage of 11.5%. The Senators thus far have had 1,438 shots attempted against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .869. Ottawa Senators opponents have totaled 171 power play opportunities (18th in professional hockey) and have scored 46 goals in those attempts.

The man protecting the goal in this game is Linus Ullmark. During his career on the ice, Ullmark has accounted for 197 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .629. His save percentage is .914 in his 15,502 minutes on the ice. Ullmark has seen 9,333 shot attempts against him and has amassed 8,534 total saves. The opposition has been able to score 799 goals against Ullmark in his pro hockey career and his average for goals against per game is 2.55. He has a win-loss mark of 180-95-32 and got the start in 313 games. Ullmark has played in 323 matchups throughout his hockey career.

In their last contest, Calgary played the Stars in a game where the Flames went home in defeat by a final of 6-1. The Flames converted 1 goal of the 21 shots on goal they pursued. They had 3 chances on the power play in this one but weren't able to notch a goal.

Calgary has tried 1,716 shots (13th in the league) and has earned a shooting percentage of 8.51%, while allowing the other team 1,728 shots. They have accumulated a penalty kill rate of 82.46% on the other teams 171 power play tries, and their save percentage sits at 90.0%. They have a tally of 177 power play chances and they have a power play rate of 16.38%. The Flames have scored 117 goals at even strength and 29 goals (26th in the NHL) while having a power play advantage. They have granted a total of 172 goals to be scored by way of 142 goals at even strength and 30 goals while they had less men on the ice. For the year, the Calgary Flames are sitting with 146 goals, 55 points, as well as a points percentage of .466.

On the other side of the ice you are expected to see Dustin Wolf patrolling the crease. The opposition is averaging 2.77 goals/game and he has relinquished 308 goals in total. Wolf's quality start rate sits at 53.2% and he has qualified for 59 quality starting assignments in his hockey career. He was named a starter in 111 games and has racked up 3,864 mins. Wolf is the owner of a lifetime mark of 54-45-12 and has played in 114 games. He has racked up 2,902 stops out of the 3,210 shots taken, which gives him a save % of .904.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Ottawa

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