Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 3/28/2026 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Saturday, March 28, 2026

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: WXPX-TV

Amalie Arena is where the Tampa Bay Lightning (44-21-6) will take on the Ottawa Senators (38-24-10) on Saturday.

The Ottawa Senators had a decent effort after finishing in a 3-3 tie against the Penguins in their previous outing. The Senators had a middle of the road showing in this game. For the matchup, they finished 3 of the 29 shots they put on net. Additionally, they had 2 power play tries and were able to score 1 goal. Ottawa amassed 4 penalty minutes in this game.

Regarding their scoring capabilities, the Ottawa Senators have notched 239 goals (9th in the National Hockey League) on the campaign and have conceded 219. For the current season, they have 86 points and their points % is .597. Ottawa has accounted for 234 power play chances and they have scored 54 goals during those chances, giving them a percentage of 23.08%. While at even strength, the Senators let the opposition score 166 goals while notching 185 when they are on offense. Ottawa has taken 2,084 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 11.5%. The Senators thus far have had 1,743 shots tried against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .874. Ottawa Senators opponents have tallied 210 power play tries (16th in professional hockey) and have notched 53 goals in those chances.

The man in goal for this game is Linus Ullmark. Ullmark has taken the ice for 333 matchups throughout his hockey career. He has amassed an overall mark of 186-97-34 and he has gotten the start in 323 games. The opposition has scored 825 goals against Ullmark in his pro career and his goals against rate is 2.55. Ullmark has had 9,591 shots against him and has recorded 8,766 saves. His save percentage is at .914 in his 15,528 mins played. Over the course of his pro career, Ullmark has compiled 203 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .628.

In their last outing, Tampa Bay faced off against the Kraken in an outing where the Lightning took the defeat by a final of 4-3. The Lightning tallied 3 goals out of the 33 shots on goal they tried. They had 1 opportunity on the power play in this outing and scored 1 on that attempt.

The Lightning have 206 goals at even strength and 50 goals (8th in pro hockey) while on the power play. Tampa Bay has attempted 2,007 shots (18th in hockey) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 12.76%, while allowing their opponents 1,904 shots. During this campaign, the Tampa Bay Lightning have a total of 256 goals, 94 points, and a points percentage of .662. They have granted a total of 197 goals to be scored by of a combination of 157 goals at even strength and 40 goals while they were shorthanded. They have earned 214 chances on the power play and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 23.36%. They have earned a penalty kill percentage of 81.82% on their oppositions 220 tries on the power play, and their save percentage comes in at 89.7%.

On the other side of the ice you will find Andrei Vasilevskiy in the crease. Vasilevskiy has a career record of 365-175-39 and has been in net for 590 contests. Vasilevskiy's quality start percentage is 58.8% and he has earned 341 quality starts in his pro career. He is sitting with 15,942 saves out of 17,392 shots taken against him, which gives him a percentage of .917. Teams are averaging 2.50 goals per game and he has given up 1,450 goals altogether. He has started in 580 games and has been on the ice for 28,743 mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Ottawa

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