Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 10/3/2026 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: TSN5, Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Senators (+110) Maple Leafs (-124)

Scotiabank Arena is where the Toronto Maple Leafs will take on the Ottawa Senators on Saturday. The line on this contest has Ottawa at +110 while Toronto is opening at -124. The total comes in at 6.5.

The Ottawa Senators will need a bounce back game after taking a 4-2 defeat to the Hurricanes in their previous game. Ottawa accumulated 14 penalty mins in this game. The Senators offense left a lot to be desired in this loss. In addition, they had 9 opportunities with more players on the ice and netted 1 goal. In the game, they were able to notch a goal on 2 out of the 27 shots they attempted.

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Ottawa Senators opponents had 236 power play opportunities (17th in professional hockey) and tallied 57 goals in those attempts. The Senators had 2,001 shots taken against them and held a save percentage of .878. Ottawa tried 2,369 shots and held a shooting percentage of 11.6%. While at even strength, the Senators surrendered 188 goals while getting 212. Ottawa finished with 263 power play chances and tallied 63 goals out of those attempts, garnering them a rate of 23.95%. For last season, the had a total of 99 points and their points percentage was .604. Pertaining to their scoring, the Ottawa Senators racked up 275 goals (8th in pro hockey) over the course of the prior season and conceded 245.

The player between the pipes for this game is Linus Ullmark. Ullmark has taken the ice for 340 matchups during his pro hockey career. He has amassed an overall mark of 191-99-34 and he was named the starter in 330 games. Opponents have been able to score 841 goals against Ullmark in his professional career and his goals against average is 2.55. Ullmark has had 9,758 shots against him and he has 8,917 saves. His save percentage currently sits at .914 for his 19,639 mins between the pipes. For his career, Ullmark has accumulated 207 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .627.

The last time they were on the ice, Toronto faced off against the Islanders in a matchup where the Maple Leafs got the win by a score of 2-1. They had 4 power play attempts in this outing and scored 1 out of those attempts. The Maple Leafs scored 2 goals of the 26 shots on goal they pursued.

The Maple Leafs tallied 210 goals at even strength and 42 goals (25th in professional hockey) while on the power play. Toronto attempted 2,159 shots (23rd in pro hockey) and earned a shot percentage of 11.67%, while allowing their opponent 2,660 shots. Last season, the Toronto Maple Leafs tallied 252 goals, 78 points, as well as a points percentage of .476. They permitted 295 goals to be scored by of a combination of 252 goals at even strength and 43 goals while they were shorthanded. They had a total of 197 chances on the power play and they have a power play rate of 21.32%. They earned a penalty kill percentage of 81.22% on their opponent's 229 power play opportunities, and their save percentage was 88.9%.

For the opposition you are expected to see Sergei Bobrovsky in net. He has tallied 21,043 stops out of the 23,068 shots tried, giving him a save percentage of .912. Bobrovsky has accrued a lifetime mark of 456-267-58 and has been in goal for 807 contests. He got the starting nod in 792 games and has racked up 46,536 minutes. Bobrovsky's quality start rate is 57.4% and he has qualified for 455 quality starts in his professional career. The opposition is averaging 2.56 goals per game and he has conceded 2,025 goals in total.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take Toronto (-124) and under 6.5 goals

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