Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 2/28/2026 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

The Toronto Maple Leafs (27-23-9) are welcoming the Ottawa Senators (28-22-8) at Scotiabank Arena on Saturday.

The Ottawa Senators will look to clean up some issues after taking a 2-1 loss to the Red Wings their last time on the ice. Ottawa garnered 23 mins in the box in this contest. The Senators didn't have their best offensive outing in this defeat. Additionally, they had 2 power play opportunities and scored 1 goal. In the matchup, they tallied a score on 1 of the 27 shots they looked to score on.

When talking about their scoring capabilities, the Ottawa Senators have notched 189 goals (14th in pro hockey) on the year and have allowed 186. For the season, they have tallied 64 points and their points % is .552. Ottawa has tallied 188 power play chances and they have notched 44 goals during those chances, garnering them a percentage of 23.40%. While at even strength, the Senators let the opposition score 140 goals while earning 145 on the offensive side of the ice. Ottawa has tried 1,650 shots and has a shooting percentage of 11.5%. The Senators have had 1,415 shots taken against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .869. Ottawa Senators opponents have totaled 169 power play opportunities (16th in the NHL) and have come away with 46 goals in those chances.

The player in the crease for this game is Linus Ullmark. Over the course of his career, Ullmark has 196 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .628. His save percentage currently sits at .914 during his 15,500 mins played. Ullmark has had 9,310 shots taken against him and he has 8,513 saves. The opposition has been able to score 797 goals against Ullmark in his NHL career and his goals against average per game is 2.55. He has compiled a mark of 179-95-32 and he has gotten the start in 312 games. Ullmark has been in goal for 322 contests during his pro hockey career.

In their last outing, Toronto squared up with the Panthers in an outing where the Maple Leafs ended up losing by a score of 5-1. They had 3 chances on the power play in this contest and scored 1 out of those chances. The Maple Leafs notched 1 goal out of the 29 shots on goal they attempted.

Toronto has taken 1,620 shots (16th in professional hockey) and has a shooting percentage of 11.73%, while allowing the opposition 1,876 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill percentage of 83.78% on their oppositions 148 power play opportunities, and their save percentage comes in at 89.2%. They have a total of 138 power play chances and they have a power play rate of 19.57%. The Maple Leafs have accumulated 163 goals at even strength and 27 goals (30th in the league) while having more men on the ice. They have permitted 202 goals to be scored by way of 178 goals at even strength and 24 goals while they had less men on the ice. This season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have earned 190 goals, 63 points, and a points percentage of .534.

Across the rink you will find Joseph Woll protecting the net. He has racked up 2,838 saves out of 3,119 shots attempted, which gives him a rate of .910. Woll has accrued a lifetime mark of 61-35-6 and has played in 104 games. He has started in 101 games and his ice time sits at 4,196 mins. Woll's quality start rate sits at 62.4% and he has made 63 quality starting assignments in his hockey career. Teams are averaging 2.78 goals per game and he has surrendered 281 goals altogether.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Ottawa

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