Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins Prediction, 4/11/2026 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins

Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026

Location: TD Garden in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

TD Garden is the site where the Boston Bruins (43-26-10) will meet the Tampa Bay Lightning (48-24-6) on Saturday.

The Tampa Bay Lightning were on the wrong end of the scoreboard with a 6-2 loss against the Senators in their previous contest . Tampa Bay accounted for 8 penalty minutes for this matchup. They also had 2 chances with extra men on the ice but didn't net one. The Lightning had a below average offensive performance in the loss. In the matchup, they scored on 2 of the 30 shots they put on goal.

At even strength, the Lightning have given up 175 goals while earning 226 of their own. Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have tallied 244 power play opportunities (5th in professional hockey) and have scored 44 goals in those attempts. Regarding their scoring, the Tampa Bay Lightning have accumulated 277 goals (2nd in the league) over the course of the season and have allowed 219. Tampa Bay has attempted 2,210 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 12.5%. For the current campaign, they sit with 102 points and their points percentage comes in at .654. The Lightning have had 2,095 shots attempted against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .895. Tampa Bay has tallied 237 power play opportunities and they have added 51 goals out of those attempts, earning them a rate of 21.52%.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Andrei Vasilevskiy. The opposition has been able to score 1,461 goals against Vasilevskiy in his NHL career and his goals against average per game is 2.50. Vasilevskiy has been involved in 595 games over the course of his hockey career. He has a save percentage of .917 in his 28,756 minutes played. He has compiled an overall mark of 368-177-39 and was named the starter in 585 games. For his professional hockey career, Vasilevskiy has accumulated 345 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is at .590. Vasilevskiy has seen 17,517 shots against him and he has 16,056 total saves.

When they were on the ice last, Boston faced off against the Hurricanes in a game where the Bruins took the defeat by a tally of 6-5. They had 2 power play opportunities in this contest but were not able to net one. The Bruins tallied 5 goals out of the 21 shots on goal they took.

Boston has attempted 2,147 shots (20th in the NHL) and has a shot percentage of 12.11%, while allowing the opposition 2,355 shots. They have a penalty kill rate of 76.56% on their opponents 273 power play chances, and their save percentage currently sits at 89.7%. They have earned 234 opportunities on the power play and they have earned a power play rate of 23.50%. The Bruins have 205 goals at even strength and 55 goals (7th in pro hockey) while having more men on the ice. They have granted a total of 243 goals to be scored by of a combination of 179 goals at even strength and 64 goals while they had less men on the ice. On the year, the Boston Bruins have notched a total of 260 goals, 96 points, as well as a points percentage of .608.

Across the rink you are going to see Jeremy Swayman protecting the net. Swayman has amassed a career record of 131-79-26 and has participated in 243 games. Swayman's percentage of quality starts is 62.1% and he has 146 quality starts in his professional career. He has recorded 6,165 stops out of 6,780 shots taken, which gives him a save percentage of .909. His opposition is averaging 2.62 goals per contest and he has given up 615 goals altogether. He got the starting nod in 235 contests and has accumulated 10,200 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Tampa Bay

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