Tampa Bay Lightning vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction, 10/23/2026 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Colorado Avalanche

Date: Friday, October 23, 2026

Location: Ball Arena in Denver, CO

TV: WXPX-TV, Altitude Sports

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (+107) Avalanche (-121)

The Colorado Avalanche (5-4-1) are welcoming the Tampa Bay Lightning (7-2-0) at Ball Arena on Friday. The moneyline on this matchup has Tampa Bay at +107 while Colorado is coming in at -121. The over/under is 6.5.

The Tampa Bay Lightning had a good night with a 6-2 win over the Golden Knights in their previous outing. The Lightning had a impressive offensive output in the victory. For the game, they converted 6 of the 21 shots they attempted. Moreover, they had 3 chances with the advantage and were able to net 1 goal. Tampa Bay garnered 8 penalty mins for this contest.

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Regarding their goal scoring prowess, the Tampa Bay Lightning have racked up 31 goals (12th in the NHL) so far this year and have surrendered 23. For the season, they have recorded 14 points and their points percentage sits at .778. Tampa Bay steps onto the ice with 31 power play opportunities and they have tallied 4 goals out of those attempts, earning them a rate of 12.90%. While at even strength, the Lightning have allowed the opponent to score 18 goals while earning 27 on offense. Tampa Bay has taken 268 shots and holds a shot percentage of 11.6%. The Lightning thus far have had 218 shots taken against them and hold a save percentage of .894. Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have earned 24 power play opportunities (29th in pro hockey) and have come away with 5 goals in those chances.

The man in net for this game is Andrei Vasilevskiy. Vasilevskiy has participated in 605 games over the course of his professional hockey career. He has amassed a win-loss record of 375-180-39 and he has started in 595 games. Opponents have racked up 1,484 goals versus Vasilevskiy in his career and his goals against rate is 2.49. Vasilevskiy has seen 17,756 shot attempts against him and has recorded 16,275 saves. His save percentage currently is .917 in his 17 minutes on the ice. From the beginning of his pro career to now, Vasilevskiy is sitting with 351 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is at .590.

In their last game, Colorado faced off against the Devils in a matchup where the Avalanche ended up losing by a final of 4-3. They had 1 power play chance in this matchup but didn't score a goal. The Avalanche scored 3 goals of the 34 shots on goal they took.

Colorado has taken 306 shots (5th in the NHL) and has a shooting percentage of 13.40%, while allowing the other team 273 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 82.61% on the other teams 23 power play opportunities, and their save percentage is 89.0%. They have a total of 32 chances on the power play and they have a power play rate of 18.75%. The Avalanche have 35 goals at even strength and 6 goals (18th in professional hockey) while on the power play. They have granted a total of 30 goals to be scored by of a combination of 26 goals at even strength and 4 goals while they were shorthanded. On the campaign, the Colorado Avalanche have 41 goals, 11 points, as well as a points percentage of .550.

Across the ice you are likely to see Mackenzie Blackwood in goal. He has accrued 7,731 saves out of the 8,541 shots taken against him, giving him a percentage of .905. Blackwood is the owner of a career record of 130-116-30 and has participated in 298 contests. He got the starting nod in 280 games and has played for a total of 16,396 mins. Blackwood's quality start percentage comes out to 57.1% and he has 160 quality starts in his pro career. Opponents are averaging 2.90 goals per game and he has relinquished 811 goals in total.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy's Pick: Take Colorado (-121)

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