Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders Prediction, 10/10/2026 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders

Date: Saturday, October 10, 2026

Location: UBS Arena in Elmont, NY

TV: WXPX-TV, MSG Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (-162) Islanders (+136)

The New York Islanders (2-2-0) are welcoming the Tampa Bay Lightning (3-1-0) at UBS Arena on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has Tampa Bay at -162 and New York is coming in at +136. The total has been set at 5.5.

The Tampa Bay Lightning came out of this game feeling pretty good about themselves with a 3-2 win against the Wild in their previous contest . The Lightning offense showed they have some room for improvement in the victory. In the game, they finished 3 out of the 35 shots they put on goal. They also had 3 power play tries and were able to score 1 goal. Tampa Bay accrued 4 mins in the box for this contest.

Get all of our NHL Betting Picks

Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have 9 power play opportunities (30th in hockey) and have a total of 2 goals in those attempts. The Lightning so far have had 97 shots tried against them and hold a save percentage of .907. Tampa Bay has taken 125 shots and has a shooting percentage of 8.8%. While playing at even strength, the Lightning have conceded 7 goals while scoring 10 on offense. Tampa Bay has accumulated 16 power play opportunities and they have scored 1 goal during those advantages, garnering them a percentage of 6.25%. For the current campaign, they have earned 6 points and their points % is .750. In relation to their goal scoring prowess, the Tampa Bay Lightning have earned 11 goals (18th in the NHL) over the course of the season and have allowed 9.

The man in net for this game is Andrei Vasilevskiy. Vasilevskiy has participated in 601 games during his hockey career. He has amassed a win-loss record of 372-179-39 and he was named the starter in 591 games. The opposition has been able to score 1,473 goals versus Vasilevskiy in his pro career and his goals against average per contest is 2.49. Vasilevskiy has had 17,650 shots against him and has amassed 16,180 saves. His save percentage is .917 for his 7 mins in the crease. In his career, Vasilevskiy is sitting with 350 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .592.

In their last game, New York faced the Blackhawks in a game where the Islanders took home the victory by a final of 4-1. They had 4 attempts on the power play in this outing and converted 1 out of those chances. The Islanders notched 4 goals of the 19 shots on goal they attempted.

The Islanders have racked up 10 goals at even strength and 3 goals (14th in the NHL) while on the power play. New York has taken 97 shots (26th in professional hockey) and has earned a shooting percentage of 13.40%, while allowing their opponents 110 shots. For the year, the New York Islanders have tallied 13 goals, 4 points, in addition to a points percentage of .500. They have granted a total of 8 goals to be scored by way of 6 goals at even strength and 2 goals while they had less men on the ice. They have a total of 15 chances on the power play and they have accumulated a power play rate of 20.00%. They have a penalty kill rate of 86.67% on the other teams 15 power play opportunities, and their save percentage is 92.7%.

Across the ice you are likely to see Ilya Sorokin protecting the net. Sorokin has a career mark of 156-114-38 and has been in net for 311 games. Sorokin's quality start percentage is 64.6% and he has made 197 quality starts in his pro hockey career. He has recorded 8,398 stops out of 9,176 shots taken against him, giving him a percentage of .915. Teams are averaging 2.56 goals/game and he has surrendered 781 goals in total. He got the starting nod in 305 games and has racked up 17,989 mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take New York (+136)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get NHL picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.