Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, 4/7/2026 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators

Date: Tuesday, April 7, 2026

Location: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON

TV: TSN5

The Tampa Bay Lightning (48-22-6) are hitting the road to Canadian Tire Centre on Tuesday where they will try to defeat the Ottawa Senators (40-27-10).

The Tampa Bay Lightning were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 3-1 victory against the Bruins in their last outing. Tampa Bay accumulated 8 penalty minutes in this matchup. Furthermore, they had 1 opportunity with more players on the ice but weren't able to score. The Lightning had a middle of the road offensive performance in this win. For the matchup, they converted 3 of the 23 shots they attempted.

Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have earned 237 power play tries (5th in the NHL) and have earned 42 goals in those attempts. The Lightning thus far have had 2,033 shots attempted against them and hold a save percentage of .897. Tampa Bay has attempted 2,155 shots and has a shooting percentage of 12.7%. When at even strength, the Lightning have conceded 167 goals while earning 223 on offense. Tampa Bay comes into tonight with 230 power play opportunities and they have added 50 goals out of those advantages, garnering them a rate of 21.74%. For the season, they have recorded 102 points and their points percentage comes in at .671. Pertaining to their scoring capabilities, the Tampa Bay Lightning have accumulated 273 goals (3rd in pro hockey) this season and have conceded 209.

The player between the pipes for this game is Jonas Johansson. In his professional hockey career, Johansson has earned 40 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .435. His save percentage currently sits at .889 in his 4,297 mins in the crease. Johansson has seen 2,813 shots taken against him and he has 2,500 total saves. Opponents have tallied 313 goals versus Johansson in his career and his goals against average per game is 3.40. He has accumulated an overall mark of 43-35-14 and he started in 92 games. Johansson has participated in 104 games throughout his NHL career.

When they took the ice last, Ottawa faced the Hurricanes in an outing where the Senators got the victory by a score of 6-3. They had 2 attempts on the power play in this outing and recorded 2 out of those opportunities. The Senators netted 6 goals out of the 31 shots on goal they were seeking.

Over the course of the season, the Ottawa Senators have earned a total of 255 goals, 90 points, and a points percentage of .584. They have permitted 237 goals to be scored by way of 181 goals at even strength and 56 goals while they were shorthanded. The Senators have 199 goals at even strength and 56 goals (6th in professional hockey) while having a power play advantage. They have recorded 247 power play opportunities and they have earned a power play rate of 22.67%. Ottawa has tried 2,227 shots (9th in professional hockey) and has earned a shooting percentage of 11.45%, while allowing the other team 1,874 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 74.77% on the other teams 222 power play chances, and their save percentage is 87.4%.

Across the ice you are likely to see Linus Ullmark in goal. Ullmark has accrued a lifetime record of 188-99-34 and has been in net for 337 games. Ullmark's quality start rate comes out to 62.4% and he has earned 204 quality starting assignments in his hockey career. He is sitting with 8,844 saves out of the 9,682 shots attempted against him, giving him a percentage of .913. His opponents are averaging 2.56 goals per game and he has conceded 838 goals overall. He has started in 327 contests and has played for a total of 15,536 mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy's Pick: Take Ottawa

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