Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction, 1/12/2026 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers

Date: Monday, January 12, 2026

Location: Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

The Tampa Bay Lightning (26-13-3) are en route to Xfinity Mobile Arena on Monday where they will meet the Philadelphia Flyers (22-12-8).

The Tampa Bay Lightning were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 4-2 victory against the Avalanche in their previous game. The Lightning had a solid offensive output in the win. For the game, they converted 4 out of the 28 shots they attempted. Moreover, they had 2 power play tries and were able to notch 1 goal. Tampa Bay recorded 18 penalty minutes in this matchup.

At even strength, the Lightning have allowed the opponent to score 88 goals while earning 118 on offense. Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have totaled 140 power play opportunities (8th in the league) and have a total of 23 goals in those attempts. In regard to scoring goals, the Tampa Bay Lightning have earned 145 goals (6th in the NHL) on the year and have allowed 111. Tampa Bay has taken 1,150 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 12.6%. For the current season, the have a total of 55 points and their points percentage comes in at .655. The Lightning thus far have had 1,122 shots taken against them and have earned a save percentage of .901. Tampa Bay skates onto the rink with 135 power play opportunities and they have scored 27 goals out of those tries, earning them a percentage of 20.00%.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Andrei Vasilevskiy. Over the course of his time in hockey, Vasilevskiy has 324 quality starts and his quality starts percentage sits at .583. His save percentage sits at .917 in his 28,684 mins played. Vasilevskiy has seen 16,791 shots against him and has recorded 15,396 saves. Opponents have racked up 1,395 goals against Vasilevskiy in his NHL career and his goals against average is 2.51. He has compiled a record of 348-170-37 and he started in 556 games. Vasilevskiy has played in 566 games over the course of his professional hockey career.

In their last game, Philadelphia faced the Maple Leafs in a game where the Flyers were on the wrong end of the score by a tally of 2-1. They had 3 power play chances in this outing but weren't able to score a goal. The Flyers recorded 1 goal out of the 23 shots on goal they were seeking.

The Flyers have earned 107 goals at even strength and 18 goals (31st in hockey) while having a power play advantage. Philadelphia has attempted 1,102 shots (28th in the league) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 11.34%, while allowing the other team 1,072 shots. On the year, the Philadelphia Flyers have earned 125 goals, 52 points, and a points percentage of .619. They have permitted 117 goals to be scored by way of 92 goals at even strength and 25 goals while they were shorthanded. They have a total of 120 chances on the power play and they have a power play percentage of 15.00%. They have earned a penalty kill rate of 80.47% on their opponents 128 power play chances, and their save percentage sits at 89.1%.

Across the rink you will find Daniel Vladar between the pipes. He has accrued 3,126 saves out of the 3,483 shots taken against him, giving him a rate of .898. Vladar has compiled a career mark of 65-40-20 and has been in net for 131 contests. He got the starting nod in 121 contests and his ice time sits at 5,630 mins. Vladar's quality start rate comes out to 57.0% and he has accumulated 69 quality starting assignments in his professional career. His opponents are averaging 2.95 goals per contest and he has allowed 357 goals altogether.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh's Pick: Take Tampa Bay

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