Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction, 3/14/2026 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres

Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026

Location: KeyBank Center in Buffalo, NY

TV: MSG Network

The Toronto Maple Leafs (28-27-11) are traveling to KeyBank Center on Saturday where they will try to defeat the Buffalo Sabres (40-20-6).

The Toronto Maple Leafs were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 6-4 victory over the Ducks in their last outing. The Maple Leafs had a solid offensive output in this victory. In the game, they tallied a score on 6 of the 28 shots they tried. Moreover, they had 7 attempts on the power play and were able to notch 3 goals. Toronto had 46 penalty mins in this contest.

When discussing their scoring, the Toronto Maple Leafs have tallied 208 goals (15th in the league) on the campaign and have surrendered 230. For the current campaign, they sit with 67 points and their points percentage is .508. Toronto has compiled 159 power play opportunities and they have tallied 32 goals out of those attempts, giving them a percentage of 20.13%. When playing at even strength, the Maple Leafs have given up 202 goals while notching 176 as an offensive unit. Toronto has attempted 1,809 shots and holds a shot percentage of 11.5%. The Maple Leafs so far have had 2,118 shots taken against them and hold a save percentage of .891. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have 170 power play opportunities (30th in the NHL) and have tallied 28 goals in those attempts.

The man protecting the net in this game is Joseph Woll. For his professional hockey career, Woll has accrued 65 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .619. His save percentage is at .908 for his 4,204 mins guarding the cage. Woll has seen 3,242 shot attempts taken against him and has accrued 2,945 saves. Opponents have tallied 297 goals versus Woll in his pro career and his goals against average per game is 2.83. He has accumulated an overall record of 62-38-6 and was named the starter in 105 games. Woll has participated in 108 games throughout his hockey career.

Their last time out, Buffalo faced the Capitals in a matchup where the Sabres went home in defeat by a final of 2-1. They had 2 power play attempts in this game but didn't score a goal. The Sabres scored 1 goal out of the 30 shots on goal they tried.

The Sabres have earned 188 goals at even strength and 41 goals (15th in hockey) while having more men on the ice. Buffalo has taken 1,855 shots (14th in professional hockey) and has earned a shot percentage of 12.35%, while allowing the other team 1,960 shots. On the season, the Buffalo Sabres have earned a total of 229 goals, 86 points, in addition to a points percentage of .652. They have permitted 198 goals to be scored by way of 167 goals at even strength and 31 goals while they were shorthanded. They have a tally of 199 chances on the power play and they have earned a power play rate of 20.60%. They have recorded a penalty kill percentage of 82.68% on their oppositions 179 power play opportunities, and their save percentage sits at 89.9%.

On the other side of the ice you are likely to see Alex Lyon defending the goal. Lyon is sitting with a lifetime mark of 69-46-14 and has been in goal for 144 games. Lyon's quality start rate sits at 55.8% and he has accumulated 72 quality starting assignments in his pro career. He has accrued 3,587 stops out of the 3,967 shots taken, giving him a percentage of .904. Teams are averaging 2.95 goals per contest and he has conceded 380 goals altogether. He has made the start in 129 contests and has played for a total of 6,062 mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy's Pick: Take Toronto

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