Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction, 10/10/2026 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche

Date: Saturday, October 10, 2026

Location: Ball Arena in Denver, CO

TV: Sportsnet, Altitude Sports

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (+150) Avalanche (-180)

Ball Arena is the site where the Colorado Avalanche (3-1-0) will attempt to beat the Toronto Maple Leafs (2-2-1) on Saturday. The odds on this game have Toronto at +150 while Colorado opens at -180. The over/under is set at 6.5.

The Toronto Maple Leafs had a decent effort after finishing in a 3-3 tie against the Golden Knights in their previous contest . The Maple Leafs were neither impressive or disappointing offensively in this game. In the outing, they netted 3 of the 24 shots they attempted. Moreover, they had 1 chance on the power play but didn't convert it into a score. Toronto accounted for 8 minutes in the box in this game.

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Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have 15 power play opportunities (10th in pro hockey) and have tallied 1 goal in those chances. The Maple Leafs so far have had 148 shots taken against them and have a save percentage of .905. Toronto has taken 144 shots and holds a shot percentage of 9.7%. When playing at even strength, the Maple Leafs have given up 13 goals while notching 11 on offense. Toronto has tallied 15 power play chances and they have tallied 3 goals out of those tries, giving them a percentage of 20.00%. For the season, they have recorded 5 points and their points percentage is sitting at .500. When it comes to scoring goals, the Toronto Maple Leafs have tallied 14 goals (11th in the league) on the season and have given up 14.

The player protecting the goal in this game is Sergei Bobrovsky. Opponents have been able to score 2,031 goals against Bobrovsky in his pro hockey career and his goals against average per game is 2.56. Bobrovsky has played in 809 games throughout his professional hockey career. His save percentage currently is .912 in his 8 mins guarding the cage. He has accumulated a win-loss mark of 456-268-59 and he has gotten the start in 794 games. For his professional hockey career, Bobrovsky has accrued 457 quality starts and his quality starts percentage sits at .576. Bobrovsky has had 23,142 shot attempts taken against him and he has 21,111 saves.

When they took the ice last, Colorado squared up with the Flames in a game where the Avalanche ended up with the win by a final of 7-3. The Avalanche notched 7 goals out of the 30 shots on goal they attempted. They had 3 power play opportunities in this matchup but weren't able to score a goal.

The Avalanche have scored 19 goals at even strength and 4 goals (9th in the NHL) while having a power play advantage. Colorado has tried 129 shots (5th in professional hockey) and has a shot percentage of 17.83%, while allowing their opponents 105 shots. On the campaign, the Colorado Avalanche have accumulated 23 goals, 6 points, and a points percentage of .750. They have granted a total of 11 goals to be scored by of a combination of 11 goals at even strength and 0 goals while they were shorthanded. They have recorded 13 opportunities on the power play and they have earned a power play percentage of 30.77%. They have earned a penalty kill rate of 100.00% on their opponents 10 power play opportunities, and their save percentage currently comes in at 89.5%.

On the other side of the ice you are going to see Mackenzie Blackwood in net. Blackwood has a career record of 128-114-30 and has been in goal for 294 contests. Blackwood's percentage of quality starts sits at 57.2% and he has qualified for 158 quality starts in his pro hockey career. He is sitting with 7,639 saves out of the 8,437 shots attempted against him, which gives him a save percentage of .905. Opponents are averaging 2.89 goals/game and he has yielded 799 goals in total. He got the starting nod in 276 games and has been on the ice for 16,386 mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Colorado (-180)

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