Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders Prediction, 4/9/2026 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders

Date: Thursday, April 9, 2026

Location: UBS Arena in Elmont, NY

TV: MSG Sportsnet

The Toronto Maple Leafs (32-31-14) are hitting the road to UBS Arena on Thursday where they will attempt to beat the New York Islanders (42-31-5).

The Toronto Maple Leafs will look to clean up some issues after taking a 7-6 defeat to the Kings in their previous game. The Maple Leafs had a good offensive output in this defeat. In the game, they scored on 6 out of the 20 shots they tried. Furthermore, they had 4 attempts on the power play and scored 2 goals. Toronto amassed 14 penalty minutes in this game.

When playing at even strength, the Maple Leafs have allowed the opponent to score 233 goals while notching 202 of their own. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have recorded 215 power play opportunities (21st in the league) and have scored 38 goals in those chances. Regarding their scoring capabilities, the Toronto Maple Leafs have racked up 241 goals (16th in the NHL) on the season and have surrendered 271. Toronto has taken 2,055 shots and has a shot percentage of 11.7%. For the current campaign, they sit with 78 points and their points percentage comes in at .506. The Maple Leafs so far have had 2,501 shots taken against them and have a save percentage of .892. Toronto steps onto the ice with 188 power play opportunities and they have scored 39 goals out of those attempts, garnering them a percentage of 20.74%.

The man protecting the net in this game is Anthony Stolarz. Over the course of his time in hockey, Stolarz is sitting with 82 quality starts and his quality starts percentage sits at .586. He has a save percentage of .913 in his 7,584 mins between the pipes. Stolarz has had 4,598 shot attempts against him and has gathered 4,200 saves. Opponents have been able to score 398 goals versus Stolarz in his career and his goals against average per game is 2.84. He has accumulated a mark of 74-49-15 and he was named the starter in 140 games. Stolarz has been involved in 167 games over the course of his pro hockey career.

Their last time out, New York faced off against the Hurricanes in a game where the Islanders went home in defeat by a mark of 4-3. They had 1 power play opportunity in this contest but weren't able to put one in the back of the net. The Islanders recorded 3 goals of the 16 shots on goal they attempted.

This season, the New York Islanders have accumulated 222 goals, 89 points, in addition to a points percentage of .571. They have allowed 224 goals to be scored by way of 186 goals at even strength and 38 goals while they were shorthanded. The Islanders have accumulated 184 goals at even strength and 38 goals (26th in professional hockey) while on the power play. They have a total of 228 chances on the power play and they have earned a power play percentage of 16.67%. New York has taken 2,180 shots (12th in professional hockey) and has earned a shot percentage of 10.18%, while allowing their opponents 2,195 shots. They have accumulated a penalty kill rate of 81.46% on their opponents 205 power play chances, and their save percentage is 89.8%.

Across the rink you are going to see Ilya Sorokin protecting the goal. He has recorded 8,269 stops out of the 9,038 shots attempted, which gives him a percentage of .915. Sorokin has earned a career record of 153-111-38 and has played in 305 games. He has been a starter 299 games and has played 13,536 mins. Sorokin's quality start percentage sits at 64.5% and he has made 193 quality starts in his hockey career. His opposition is averaging 2.57 goals/game and he has yielded 769 goals in total.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Toronto

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