Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Rangers Prediction, 3/5/2026 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Rangers

Date: Thursday, March 5, 2026

Location: Madison Square Garden in New York, NY

TV: MSG Network

The Toronto Maple Leafs (27-24-10) are en route to Madison Square Garden on Thursday where they will take on the New York Rangers (23-29-8).

The Toronto Maple Leafs had a decent effort after finishing in a 2-2 tie against the Flyers in their previous game. Toronto tallied 6 penalty mins in this outing. The Maple Leafs didn't have their best offensive outing in this game. Moreover, they had 3 power play opportunities and netted 1 goal. For the game, they finished 2 out of the 31 shots they looked to score on.

When playing at even strength, the Maple Leafs have surrendered 183 goals while earning 166 themselves. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have amassed 154 power play opportunities (30th in the league) and have scored 26 goals in those chances. In relation to their scoring capabilities, the Toronto Maple Leafs have notched 194 goals (14th in the NHL) for the season and have conceded 209. Toronto has taken 1,675 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 11.6%. For the current season, they have accumulated 64 points and their points percentage comes in at .525. The Maple Leafs have had 1,941 shots attempted against them and have earned a save percentage of .892. Toronto skates onto the rink with 143 power play chances and they have scored 28 goals out of those attempts, giving them a rate of 19.58%.

The man in net for this game is Joseph Woll. Opponents have tallied 286 goals versus Woll in his career and his goals against rate is 2.80. Woll has participated in 105 matchups throughout his NHL career. His save percentage sits at .909 during his 4,197 minutes played. He has amassed a record of 61-36-6 and he has started in 102 games. For his career, Woll has 63 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .618. Woll has seen 3,147 shots against him and has accrued 2,861 total saves.

When they were on the ice last, New York faced off against the Blue Jackets in a game where the Rangers went home in defeat by a final score of 5-4. The Rangers notched 4 goals of the 33 shots on goal they took. They had 1 opportunity on the power play in this outing but didn't put one in the back of the net.

New York has tried 1,534 shots (27th in the NHL) and has a shooting percentage of 10.23%, while allowing the opposition 1,725 shots. They have earned a penalty kill rate of 79.21% on the other teams 178 power play opportunities, and their save percentage currently comes in at 89.0%. They have earned 147 power play opportunities and they have a power play rate of 22.45%. The Rangers are sitting with 124 goals at even strength and 33 goals (19th in pro hockey) while on the power play. They have granted a total of 190 goals to be scored by way of 153 goals at even strength and 37 goals while they were shorthanded. So far this season, the New York Rangers have a total of 157 goals, 54 points, as well as a points percentage of .450.

On the other side of the ice you will find Igor Shesterkin patrolling the crease. He is sitting with 8,378 stops out of the 9,140 shots attempted against him, giving him a save percentage of .917. Shesterkin holds a lifetime mark of 180-100-28 and has been in goal for 311 games. He got the starting nod in 306 games and has been on the ice for 14,613 minutes. Shesterkin's quality start percentage is 63.1% and he has accumulated 193 quality starting assignments in his pro career. Opponents are averaging 2.49 goals per contest and he has given up 762 goals in total.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Toronto

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