Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, 3/21/2026 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators

Date: Saturday, March 21, 2026

Location: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON

TV: TSN5

Canadian Tire Centre is the location where the Ottawa Senators (34-24-9) will compete against the Toronto Maple Leafs (29-28-12) on Saturday.

The Toronto Maple Leafs will look to clean up some issues after taking a 3-1 defeat against the Islanders in their last outing. Toronto accumulated 17 penalty minutes for this matchup. The Maple Leafs had a below average offensive performance in the loss. Furthermore, they had 3 chances on the power play but didn't net one. For the matchup, they earned a goal on 1 of the 27 shots they tried.

When at even strength, the Maple Leafs have allowed the opponent to score 206 goals while having 183 when they are on offense. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have earned 182 power play tries (27th in pro hockey) and have a total of 31 goals in those chances. Pertaining to their scoring capabilities, the Toronto Maple Leafs have accumulated 215 goals (15th in the NHL) so far this season and have surrendered 237. Toronto has tried 1,880 shots and has a shooting percentage of 11.4%. For the current season, the have a total of 70 points and their points percentage sits at .507. The Maple Leafs have seen 2,223 shots tried against them and have a save percentage of .893. Toronto comes into the game with 165 power play opportunities and they have scored 32 goals out of those chances, garnering them a rate of 19.39%.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Anthony Stolarz. The opposition has notched 389 goals against Stolarz in his career and his goals against rate is 2.84. Stolarz has been involved in 164 games throughout his hockey career. His save percentage currently sits at .914 during his 7,576 mins on the ice. He has amassed a mark of 72-48-15 and got the start in 137 games. In his career, Stolarz has recorded 80 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .584. Stolarz has seen 4,522 shots against him and has recorded 4,133 total saves.

Their last time out, Ottawa played the Capitals in an outing where the Senators ended up taking the loss by a final score of 4-1. The Senators scored 1 goal of the 35 shots on goal they took. They had 3 attempts on the power play in this matchup but didn't score a goal.

Ottawa has taken 1,931 shots (12th in the NHL) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 11.55%, while allowing their opponents 1,626 shots. They have a penalty kill percentage of 73.71% on their oppositions 194 chances on the power play, and their save percentage comes in at 87.1%. They have earned 217 power play opportunities and they have earned a power play rate of 23.04%. The Senators have tallied 173 goals at even strength and 50 goals (4th in hockey) while on the power play. They have permitted 209 goals to be scored by of a combination of 158 goals at even strength and 51 goals while they were shorthanded. On the season, the Ottawa Senators have earned 223 goals, 77 points, as well as a points percentage of .575.

On the other side of the ice you are expected to see Linus Ullmark patrolling the crease. Ullmark has amassed a career record of 184-97-33 and has been in net for 330 games. Ullmark's quality start rate comes out to 62.5% and he has 200 quality starting assignments in his career. He has accounted for 8,685 stops out of the 9,503 shots taken against him, giving him a save % of .914. His opponents are averaging 2.56 goals/game and he has yielded 818 goals altogether. He has been a starter 320 contests and has played for a total of 15,520 mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy's Pick: Take Ottawa

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