Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction, 10/8/2026 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights

Date: Thursday, October 8, 2026

Location: T-Mobile Arena in Paradise, NV

TV: Sportsnet, Vegas 34

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (+137) Golden Knights (-162)

T-Mobile Arena is the site where the Vegas Golden Knights (3-1-0) will take on the Toronto Maple Leafs (2-2-0) on Thursday. The moneyline on this game has the Maple Leafs at +137 and the Golden Knights are at -162. The total is set at 6.5.

The Toronto Maple Leafs were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 5-4 win over the Predators in their previous game. Toronto tallied 2 penalty mins in this game. In addition, they had 3 power play attempts and scored 1 goal. The Maple Leafs had a good offensive outing in this victory. For the game, they were able to notch a goal on 5 of the 37 shots they put on goal.

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Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have tallied 11 power play tries (15th in professional hockey) and have tallied 1 goal in those attempts. The Maple Leafs so far have had 105 shots tried against them and hold a save percentage of .895. Toronto has taken 120 shots and holds a shot percentage of 9.2%. When at even strength, the Maple Leafs have conceded 10 goals while notching 8 themselves. Toronto has accounted for 14 power play opportunities and they have scored 3 goals during those advantages, giving them a percentage of 21.43%. For the current campaign, they have 4 points and their points percentage comes in at .500. With regard to their scoring capabilities, the Toronto Maple Leafs have racked up 11 goals (11th in the NHL) on the year and have allowed 11.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Sergei Bobrovsky. For his professional hockey career, Bobrovsky has accumulated 456 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .575. His save percentage is at .912 in his 46,539 mins played. Bobrovsky has had 23,097 shots taken against him and has accrued 21,069 saves. Opponents have been able to score 2,028 goals against Bobrovsky in his pro hockey career and his average for goals against per game is 2.56. He has accumulated a win-loss mark of 456-268-58 and he started in 793 games. Bobrovsky has participated in 808 games over the course of his professional hockey career.

Their last time out, Vegas went up against the Kraken in a matchup where the Golden Knights took home the victory by a mark of 6-2. They had 5 power play opportunities in this contest and netted 2 out of those chances. The Golden Knights notched 6 goals out of the 28 shots on goal they were seeking.

Vegas has put up 123 shots (2nd in pro hockey) and has a shooting percentage of 13.82%, while allowing their opponents 93 shots. They have earned a penalty kill percentage of 83.33% on their opponents 12 power play chances, and their save percentage sits at 89.2%. They have earned 16 power play opportunities and they have a power play percentage of 31.25%. The Golden Knights have scored 12 goals at even strength and 5 goals (2nd in hockey) while having more men on the ice. They have permitted 10 goals to be scored by of a combination of 8 goals at even strength and 2 goals while they were shorthanded. During this campaign, the Vegas Golden Knights have 17 goals, 6 points, in addition to a points percentage of .750.

For the opposition you are going to see Carter Hart patrolling the crease. The opposition is averaging 2.84 goals/game and he has conceded 679 goals altogether. Hart's quality start rate sits at 49.8% and he has made 119 quality starts in his professional career. He has been a starter 239 contests and has been on the ice for 13,777 minutes. Hart is the owner of a lifetime mark of 109-97-32 and has participated in 248 games. He has recorded 6,446 saves out of the 7,125 shots attempted against him, giving him a percentage of .905.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Vegas (-162)

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