Winnipeg Jets vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, 1/3/2026 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Winnipeg Jets vs Ottawa Senators

Date: Saturday, January 3, 2026

Location: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON

TV: TSN5

Odds/Point Spread: Jets (+106) Senators (-128)

The Ottawa Senators (18-15-5) will take on the Winnipeg Jets (15-19-4) at Canadian Tire Centre on Saturday. The line on this matchup has the Jets at +106 and the Senators are sitting at -128. The betting total comes in at 6.5.

The Winnipeg Jets will look for better times on the ice after their 2-1 loss against the Red Wings in their last outing. The Jets had an offensive game that was below their expectations in the defeat. For the outing, they scored on 1 out of the 24 shots they launched. Additionally, they had 3 attempts on the power play but weren't able to score a goal. Winnipeg accounted for 6 penalty minutes in this matchup.

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While playing at even strength, the Jets have allowed the opponent to score 90 goals while scoring 86 on the offensive side of the ice. Winnipeg Jets opponents have tallied 123 power play tries (14th in professional hockey) and have a total of 25 goals in those attempts. When discussing their goal scoring prowess, the Winnipeg Jets have earned 107 goals (27th in hockey) this year and have surrendered 115. Winnipeg has attempted 1,021 shots and holds a shot percentage of 10.5%. For the season, they have tallied 34 points and their points % is .447. The Jets have had 1,056 shots taken against them and have earned a save percentage of .891. Winnipeg has accounted for 109 power play opportunities and they have scored 21 goals out of those attempts, garnering them a rate of 19.27%.

The player between the pipes for this game is Connor Hellebuyck. For his professional hockey career, Hellebuyck has compiled 350 quality starts and his quality starts rate sits at .603. His save percentage is at .917 for his 30,159 mins in the crease. Hellebuyck has had 17,658 shots against him and has garnered 16,197 saves. Opponents have tallied 1,461 goals versus Hellebuyck in his career and his goals against rate is 2.52. He has a win-loss record of 331-195-47 and was named the starter in 580 games. Hellebuyck has taken the ice for 590 games over the course of his professional hockey career.

In their last contest, Ottawa opposed the Blue Jackets in a game where the Senators went home in defeat by a final score of 4-1. The Senators converted 1 goal out of the 28 shots on goal they attempted. They had 4 power play attempts in this outing but weren't able to finish one of them with a goal.

Ottawa has attempted 1,062 shots (22nd in professional hockey) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 11.49%, while allowing the opposition 968 shots. They have earned a penalty kill rate of 71.43% on the other teams 105 power play chances, and their save percentage is 87.2%. They have a tally of 124 power play opportunities and they have earned a power play rate of 25.00%. The Senators have tallied 91 goals at even strength and 31 goals (5th in professional hockey) while having more men on the ice. They have permitted 124 goals to be scored by way of 94 goals at even strength and 30 goals while they had less men on the ice. So far this year, the Ottawa Senators have 122 goals, 41 points, in addition to a points percentage of .539.

On the other side of the ice you will find Leevi Merilainen in goal. He has gathered 555 stops out of the 619 shots tried, which gives him a save % of .897. Merilainen is sitting with a lifetime record of 12-11-2 and has played in 25 contests. He got the starting nod in 23 games and his ice time sits at 768 mins. Merilainen's quality start rate sits at 47.8% and he has 11 quality starts in his pro hockey career. His opponents are averaging 2.78 goals per game and he has surrendered 64 goals overall.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Winnipeg (+106)

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