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Brighton vs Liverpool Prediction, 11/28/2020 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 11/25/2020

Aaron Connolly Brighton and Hove Albion

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Game: Brighton vs Liverpool

Date: Saturday, November 28, 2020

Location: The American Express Community Stadium in Brighton and Hove, Sussex

TV: Peacock Premium

Odds/Point Spread: Brighton (+460) Liverpool (-213)

Sadio Mane and Liverpool (6-2-1, 2nd in the EPL) head to The American Express Community Stadium on Saturday where they'll take on Brighton (2-3-4, 16th in the EPL). The goalkeepers protecting the net will be Mathew Ryan for Brighton and Alisson for Liverpool. Liverpool are at at -213 while the Seagulls are at +460. The over/under opens at 2.5.

Brighton took the field against Aston Villa in their last matchup and earned the victory with a final of 2 - 1. Brighton attempted 9 dribbles in this contest and were able to convert 6 of the attempts for a percentage of 66.7%. In sharing the ball, they finished with a 83.1% received passes percentage by connecting on 329 out of their 396 pass targets in their last match. Regarding shot accuracy, Brighton ended this match at a 42.9% clip by hitting 3 shots on target out of 7 total shots. Brighton is averaging 1.33 goals per 90 (12 total goals) and have 9 assists in all competitions for this campaign.

Solly March is a player who should be able to impact this game for Brighton. He has 13 assists while accumulating 12 yellow cards thus far in his career. March has been given a starting assignment in 102 outings so far in his career and scores 0.10 goals per 90. The forward from England has recorded 11 goals scored in 9,542 minutes played. Another guy who should impact this match is Neal Maupay, the forward representing France. Maupay has accumulated 13,711 mins in 148 career starting assignments and has earned himself a total of 32 yellow card cautions. He has assisted on a goal 20 times in his career and he has scored 69 goals. He sports an average of 0.45 goals per 90 minutes during his soccer career.

The guy who will defend the goal for Brighton will be Mathew Ryan. Ryan (123-80-88 mark in his career) has tallied 85 shutouts, which gives him a 29.2% clean sheet rate. The keeper from Australia has had 1,151 shots attempted against him in 291 career starts. His GA/90 is 1.18 (343 total goals conceded) and he has a save percentage of .715. Ryan has seen the field for 26,190 minutes and has accumulated 828 saves in his career.

In their last game, Liverpool earned three points by winning 3 - 0 against Leicester City. They wrapped up this outing by connecting on 516 out of their 594 passing attempts earning a rate of 86.9%. Liverpool finished the match with a 68.8% successful dribble rate by completing 11 of the 16 dribbles they tried. Liverpool connected on 12 shots on goal out of 24 shots tried earning them a 50.0% clip in their last match. Having tallied 20 goals and 9 assists in all their matches, Liverpool is averaging 2.22 goals and 1.00 assist per 90 minutes.

Sadio Mane should provide a spark for Liverpool. The forward hailing from Senegal has accumulated 21,787 mins and has scored 120 goals. He has collected 42 yellow cards in his pro soccer career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 54 times. He sports an average of 0.50 goals per 90 minutes and has been in the starting lineup in 253 contests during his pro soccer career. Make sure to watch out for Roberto Firmino, the forward hailing from Brazil. He has accounted for 97 goals in his pro soccer career while helping on a goal 61 different times. Firmino has been handed a total of 32 yellow cards in 25,030 minutes (290 starts). His G/90 average in his career is 0.35.

Alisson will be residing in front of the goal for Liverpool. Alisson has recorded 71 clean sheets and has defended 329 shots attempted against him in 13,269 career minutes. He is the owner of a save percentage of .772 and his shutout rate is currently 47.7%. He has surrendered 0.72 goals per 90 while earning a mark of 100-28-21. So far in his career, Alisson has conceded 80 goals while tallying 252 saves in 149 starting assignments.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Liverpool (-213)

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