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Chelsea vs Leeds United Prediction, 12/5/2020 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 12/4/2020

Timo Werner Chelsea

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Game: Chelsea vs Leeds United

Date: Saturday, December 5, 2020

Location: Stamford Bridge in London, England

TV: NBCSN

Odds/Point Spread: Chelsea (-250) Leeds United (+550)

Helder Costa and Leeds United (4-2-4, 12th in the EPL) go to Stamford Bridge on Saturday where they'll meet Chelsea (5-4-1, 3rd in the EPL). The starting goalies will be Edouard Mendy for Chelsea and Illan Meslier for Leeds United. Leeds United are at at +550 while the Pensioners are at -250. The O/U is set at 3.

Chelsea took the field against Tottenham in their most recent game and earned a one point draw by a score of 0-0. When talking about passing the ball, they earned a 89.1% received passes rate by connecting on 607 of the 681 passing targets in their last match. Chelsea attempted 12 dribbles in this matchup and successfully completed 7 of the attempts for a rate of 58.3%. In relation to shooting accuracy, Chelsea wrapped this game up at a 23.1% clip by landing 3 shots on target of 13 shots. Chelsea has an average of 2.10 goals per 90 min (21 total goals) and have accounted for 15 assists in all contests for the season.

Timo Werner is a guy who can be a difference maker for Chelsea. He has accounted for 38 assists while accumulating 12 yellow card warnings so far in his career. Werner has had a starting assignment in 187 contests in his career and scores 0.52 goals per 90. The forward representing Germany has racked up 96 goals scored in 16,491 minutes played. Another guy who could decide the outcome is Kai Havertz, the forward representing Germany. Havertz has been on the pitch for 9,503 minutes during 106 starting assignments and has been given 11 yellow card warnings. He has assisted a teammate on a goal 22 times during his pro soccer career while scoring 37 goals. He sports an average of 0.35 G/90 so far in his career.

The guy who is expected to defend the goal for Chelsea is Edouard Mendy. Mendy (33-27-17 mark during his career) has 48 shutouts, which gives him a 43.6% clean sheet percentage. The goalie born in Senegal has had 367 shots attempted at him in 110 career starting assignments. His goals against per 90 minutes is 0.85 (94 total goals allowed) and he is the owner of a save % of .782. Mendy has seen the field for a total of 9,913 minutes and has tallied 286 stops so far in his career.

The last time they took the pitch, Leeds United got the victory with a final of 1-0 against Everton. They wrapped up this outing by completing 491 of the 583 passes they tried for a percentage of 84.2%. Leeds United finished with a 53.8% successful dribble percentage by converting 7 of the 13 dribbles they tried. Leeds United landed 6 SoT out of 21 shots attempted earning them a 28.6% clip when they last stepped onto the pitch. With a total of 15 goals and 10 assists for all their games, Leeds United has an average of 1.50 goals and 1.00 assist per 90 minutes.

Helder Costa should provide solid play for Leeds United. The forward from Angola has accumulated 10,698 professional minutes while scoring 25 goals. He has 14 yellow card cautions during his pro soccer career and has helped on a goal 25 times. He scores 0.21 goals per 90 minutes and has had a starting assignment in 123 outings so far in his career. Be sure to keep an eye out for Patrick Bamford, the forward who is from England. He has earned 87 goals so far in his career while helping a teammate on a goal 12 different times. Bamford has been given 19 yellow card warnings in 15,500 mins (174 career starting assignments). His G/90 average during his soccer career is 0.51.

Illan Meslier will reside in front of the goal for Leeds United. During his professional soccer career, Meslier has surrendered 53 goals and has racked up 52 saves in 48 starting assignments. He has surrendered 1.10 goals per 90 mins while he holds a mark of 24-12-12. He sports a save % of .750 and his shutout rate is currently 41.7%. Meslier has totaled 20 shutouts while defending 68 shots against him in 4,320 career minutes.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chelsea (-250)

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