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Chelsea vs Southampton Prediction, 10/17/2020 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Parlay's Pundit - 10/15/2020

Tammy Abraham Chelsea

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Game: Chelsea vs Southampton

Date: Saturday, October 17, 2020

Location: Stamford Bridge in London, England

TV: NBCSN

Odds/Point Spread: Chelsea (-222) Southampton (+450)

Danny Ings and Southampton (2-0-2, 11th in EPL) head to Stamford Bridge on Saturday where they'll take on Chelsea (2-1-1, 7th in EPL). The goaltenders who are expected to start will be Kepa Arrizabalaga for Chelsea and Alex McCarthy for Southampton. The Pensioners are at -222 while the Saints are at +450. The total is set at 3.5.

Chelsea as a team have scored 10 goals for the season, which ranks 6th in the EPL. They have attempted 52 shots at their opponents with 21 on target, which comes out to a 40.4% SOT percentage. Chelsea has controlled possession for 58.5% of matches while successfully dribbling 49.2% of the time (19th in the English Premier League). They have caught 2,222 passes from teammates on 2,441 targets for the campaign, giving them a receiving percentage of 91.0%.

Timo Werner is a guy who can be a difference maker for Chelsea. He has 36 assists while earning 12 yellow cards during his career. Werner has been given a starting assignment in 181 matchups during his soccer career while scoring 0.52 goals per 90 mins. The forward from Germany has totaled 92 goals in 16,008 mins played. Another guy who could decide the outcome is Kai Havertz, the forward representing Germany. Havertz has totaled 9,249 mins during 103 career starts and has earned himself a total of 10 yellow card warnings. He has helped a teammate on a goal 22 times during his career while he has scored 36 goals. He is averaging 0.35 G/90 in his career.

The man who will protect the net for Chelsea will be Kepa Arrizabalaga. Arrizabalaga has been on the field for 16,325 mins and has earned 491 saves so far in his pro soccer career. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.21 (219 total goals surrendered) and he holds a save % of .694. The goalie from Spain has had 703 shots attempted at him in 182 starting assignments. Arrizabalaga (78-43-60 record in his career) has totaled 56 shutouts, which gives him a 30.8% clean sheet rate.

The Saints have successfully dribbled 63.3% of the time on the year while accumulating 5 goals. They hold a receiving percentage of 83.5% and they have controlled possession of the ball 57.8% of the time. Southampton has 1,982 pass targets for the season (9th in the league) to go along with 1,655 completed passes. They have been able to connect on 45% of their shots out of 40 total shots.

Danny Ings should be someone to watch for Southampton. The forward born in England has been on the field for 16,404 mins while he has scored 80 goals. He has totaled 19 yellow card cautions so far in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 19 times. He currently averages 0.44 goals per 90 and has been given a starting assignment in 186 matches in his career. Be sure to keep an eye out for James Ward-Prowse, the midfielder from England. He has totaled 22 goals during his career while assisting a teammate on a goal 22 different times. Ward-Prowse has been given 28 yellow card cautions in 14,455 professional minutes played (155 starting assignments). His goals per 90 average in his career is 0.14.

Alex McCarthy will be residing in front of the goal for the Saints. McCarthy has recorded 53 shutouts while defending 1,050 shots attempted against him in 19,910 minutes in his career. He is the owner of a save % of .708 and his clean sheet rate sits at 24.0%. He has surrendered 1.41 goals per 90 minutes while earning a record of 75-63-84. In his career, McCarthy has conceded 311 goals while he has racked up 746 saves in 221 starting assignments.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Southampton (+450) and under 3.5 goals

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