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Metz vs Brest Prediction, 11/29/2020 Ligue 1 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 11/25/2020

Haris Belkebla Brest

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Game: Metz vs Brest

Date: Sunday, November 29, 2020

Location: Stade Saint-Symphorien in Longeville-lès-Metz, France

TV: Viaplay Denmark

Odds/Point Spread: Metz (+104) Brest (+230)

Stade Saint-Symphorien is the site where Opa Nguette and Metz (4-4-3, 10th in Ligue 1) will play Brest (5-0-6, 13th in Ligue 1) on Sunday. The expected starting goalies will be Alexandre Oukidja for Metz and Gautier Larsonneur for Brest. The line on this matchup has Metz coming in at +104 and the Pirates are priced at +230. The total has been set at 2.5.

Metz stepped onto the pitch against Nantes in their last game and wrapped up with a draw by a score of 1-1. In sharing the ball, they finished this match with a 77.5% received passes percentage by converting 237 out of their 306 passing attempts in their last outing. Metz tried 16 dribbles in this matchup and were able to convert 10 of the tries for a rate of 62.5%. Concerning shot accuracy, Metz finished the game at a 33.3% rate by putting 3 shots on target out of 9 total shots. Metz has an average of 1.00 goal per 90 (11 goals in total) and have racked up 8 assists in all competitions for the season.

Opa Nguette is a player who should be able to impact this game for Metz. He has totaled 8 assists while accumulating 16 yellow cards thus far in his career. Nguette has had a starting assignment in 139 outings in his career and scores 0.18 goals per 90. The forward hailing from France has accumulated 23 goals in 11,693 minutes played. Someone else who should impact this game is Farid Boulaya, the forward representing France. He has assisted a teammate on a goal 14 times thus far in his career while he has scored 16 total goals. Boulaya has 8,225 mins during 90 starting assignments and has earned himself a total of 14 yellow cards. He averages 0.18 goals per 90 during his pro soccer career.

The man who will defend the goal for Metz will be Alexandre Oukidja. Oukidja (57-37-34 record during his career) has earned 43 shutouts, which has earned him a 33.6% shutout rate. The goalkeeper hailing from France has had 368 shots tried at him in 128 career starts. His GA/90 is 1.07 (136 total goals given up) and his save percentage is .728. Oukidja has seen the field for 11,470 minutes and has 264 stops in his career.

In their last outing, Brest walked away with a victory by a final of 4-1 against Saint-Etienne. They finished the match by converting 337 out of their 397 passing tries for a percentage of 84.9%. Brest earned a 71.4% successful dribble percentage by converting 15 of the 21 dribbles they attempted. Brest had 5 shots on target out of their 10 shots tried which gave them a 50.0% clip when they last took the field. Having earned a total of 19 goals and 15 assists for all their games, Brest averages 1.73 goals and 1.36 assists per 90 minutes.

Steve Mounie should be someone to watch for Brest. The forward from Benin has been on the field for 11,316 professional minutes while he has scored 45 goals. He has accumulated 13 yellow cards during his pro soccer career and has helped on a goal 13 times. He scores 0.36 goals per 90 minutes and has started 122 matches in his pro soccer career. You should also keep an eye on Gaetan Charbonnier, the forward representing France. He has collected 87 goals so far in his pro soccer career while helping on a goal 39 different times. Charbonnier has earned himself 47 yellow card cautions in 20,080 mins played (230 starting assignments). His goals per 90 min average during his career is 0.39.

Gautier Larsonneur will be residing in front of the goal for Brest. During his pro soccer career, Larsonneur has surrendered 129 goals and has totaled 222 stops in 111 starting assignments. He has surrendered 1.17 goals per 90 while holding a record of 51-32-28. He sports a save percentage of .720 and his shutout rate is currently 31.5%. Larsonneur has tallied 35 clean sheets while he has seen 314 shots attempted against him in 9,958 minutes throughout his career.

Who will win tonight's Ligue 1 game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Brest (+230)

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