Nantes vs Brest Prediction, 10/18/2020 Ligue 1 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Nantes vs Brest
Date: Sunday, October 18, 2020
Location: Stade de la Beaujoire in Nantes, France
Odds/Point Spread: Nantes (+125) Brest (+210)
Moses Simon and Nantes (1-2-3, 16th in Ligue 1) host Brest (3-0-3, 11th in Ligue 1) at Stade de la Beaujoire on Sunday. The starting goalies are Alban Lafont for Nantes and Gautier Larsonneur for Brest. The line on this game has Nantes coming in at +125 and the Pirates are priced at +210. The O/U has been set at 2.25.
Nantes as a team have scored 6 goals on the campaign, which ranks them 17th in the league. They have attempted 60 shots at their opponents goal with 18 being on target, which means they have a 30.0% SOT percentage. Nantes maintains possession for 43.7% of games while successfully dribbling 57% of the time (13th in the league). They have been on the receiving end of 2,116 passes from teammates on 2,467 tries so far this year, giving them a receiving percentage of 85.8%.
Moses Simon is a player who should be able to impact this game for Nantes. Simon has been given a starting assignment in 123 games in his career and scores 0.22 goals per 90 minutes. The forward born in Nigeria has totaled 27 goals scored in 10,988 minutes played. He has accounted for 19 assists while earning 8 yellow cards so far in his pro soccer career. One more player who could decide who wins is Ludovic Blas, the midfielder born in France. Blas has been on the field for 8,660 minutes in 92 career starting assignments and has been handed 14 yellow card cautions. He has helped a teammate on a goal 12 times so far in his career while he has scored 12 goals. He currently averages 0.12 goals per 90 minutes in his career.
The guy who is expected to defend the goal for Nantes is Alban Lafont. Lafont (47-50-68 record in his career) has recorded 49 clean sheets, which gives him a 29.7% shutout rate. The keeper from Burkina Faso has seen 636 shots tried at him in 165 career starting assignments. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.22 (200 total goals allowed) and he has a save percentage of .722. Lafont has played for a total of 14,789 mins and has 455 saves so far in his pro soccer career.
The Pirates have been able to dribble successfully 67.6% of the time so far this season while earning 10 goals. They hold a receiving percentage of 85.9% while they control possession of the ball 49.3% of the time. Brest has 2,637 pass targets this year (9th in Ligue 1) with 2,265 successful received passes. They have been able to complete 34.1% of their shots on target on 82 total shots.
Steve Mounie will need to provide a spark for Brest. The forward who is from Benin has played 10,926 mins and he has scored 44 goals. He has earned 12 yellow card cautions so far in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 11 times. He is averaging 0.36 goals per 90 mins and has been given a starting assignment in 117 matches during his pro soccer career. You should also keep an eye on Gaetan Charbonnier, the forward from France. Charbonnier has been given a total of 45 yellow card cautions in 19,939 mins played (228 starts). His goals per 90 average so far in his career is 0.39. He has accumulated 87 goals during his career while assisting on a goal 39 different times.
Gautier Larsonneur will be looking after the goal for the Pirates. During his professional soccer career, Larsonneur has allowed 118 goals while he has accumulated 207 stops in 106 starts. He has allowed 1.12 goals per 90 while he holds a mark of 49-32-25. He holds a save percentage of .727 and his clean sheet rate sits at 33.0%. Larsonneur has accumulated 35 clean sheets while seeing 289 shots tried against him in 9,508 minutes in his career.
Who will win tonight's Ligue 1 game against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Brest (+210)
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