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Real Madrid vs Alaves Prediction, 11/28/2020 La Liga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 11/25/2020

Fernando Pacheco Alaves

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Game: Real Madrid vs Alaves

Date: Saturday, November 28, 2020

Location: Santiago Bernabéu Stadium in Madrid, Spain

TV: beIN Sports

Odds/Point Spread: Real Madrid (-333) Alaves (+850)

Eden Hazard and Real Madrid (5-2-2, 4th in La Liga) host Alaves (2-4-4, 15th in La Liga) at Santiago Bernabéu Stadium on Saturday. The starting goalies are Thibaut Courtois for Real Madrid and Fernando Pacheco for Alaves. Real Madrid are priced -333 while the Babazorros are at +850. The total has been set at 3.5.

Real Madrid faced off with Villarreal in their last match and got the draw with a final of 1-1. Real Madrid tried 22 dribbles in this contest and were successful in 16 of the attempts for a rate of 72.7%. In sharing the ball, they ended with a 90.2% received passes rate by converting 553 out of their 613 pass targets last match. Concerning shot accuracy, Real Madrid wrapped this game up at a 14.3% rate by landing 1 shot on target out of 7 total shots. Real Madrid has an average of 1.56 g/90 (14 total goals) and are sitting with 10 assists in all games for the year.

Eden Hazard is a player who should be able to impact this game for Real Madrid. Hazard has had a starting assignment in 352 games during his soccer career and he accounts for 0.36 goals per 90 minutes. The forward born in Belgium has racked up 123 goals in 30,851 professional minutes played. He has 88 assists while accumulating 23 yellow cards thus far in his career. One more guy who could decide who wins is Toni Kroos, the midfielder representing Germany. Kroos has totaled 27,480 minutes in 314 starting assignments and has been handed 47 yellow card warnings. He has assisted on a goal 76 times in his career while he has scored 38 total goals. He averages 0.12 goals per 90 mins during his pro soccer career.

The guy who is expected to defend the goal for Real Madrid will be Thibaut Courtois. Courtois has played for 31,134 mins and has tallied 799 stops so far in his career. His goals against per 90 mins is 0.93 (322 goals surrendered) and he has earned a save % of .722. The goalkeeper born in Belgium has faced 1,108 shots attempted against him in 348 career starts. Courtois (207-73-65 mark in his career) has earned 151 clean sheets, which gives him a 43.4% clean sheet rate.

For their last outing, Alaves weren't able to secure a win with a final of 2-2 against Valencia. Alaves earned a 57.1% successful dribble rate by converting 8 of the 14 dribbles they pursued. They wrapped up this contest by completing 192 out of their 278 passes they attempted for a percentage of 69.1%. Alaves converted 2 shots on target out of their 12 shots tried which had them sitting at a 16.7% rate in their last match. Having accumulated 9 goals and 6 assists in all their games, Alaves has an average of 0.90 goals and 0.60 assists per 90 min.

Joselu should be someone to watch for Alaves. The forward hailing from Germany has 15,153 mins and has scored 53 goals. He has accounted for 29 yellow cards so far in his pro soccer career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 12 times. He currently averages 0.31 goals per 90 and has been given a starting assignment in 161 games so far in his career. Be sure to watch out for Lucas Perez, the forward representing Spain. He has tallied 73 goals so far in his career while assisting a teammate on a goal 40 different times. Perez has earned himself a total of 34 yellow cards in 17,725 minutes played (200 career starting assignments). His goals per 90 average so far in his pro soccer career is 0.37.

Fernando Pacheco is expected to look after the goal for Alaves. Thus far in his career, Pacheco has given up 269 goals and has tallied 670 saves in 226 starting assignments. He has given up 1.20 goals per 90 while he holds a record of 83-56-86. He holds a save percentage of .735 and his shutout rate is currently at 31.0%. Pacheco has racked up 70 clean sheets while defending 917 shots against him in 20,232 mins in his career.

Who will win tonight's La Liga game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Real Madrid (-333)

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