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Chelsea vs Leeds United Prediction, 12/11/2021 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Parlay's Pundit - 12/6/2021

Timo Werner Chelsea

Game: Chelsea vs Leeds United

Date: Saturday, December 11, 2021

Location: Stamford Bridge in London, England

TV: Peacock Premium

Odds/Point Spread: Chelsea (-346) Leeds United (+1105)

Patrick Bamford and Leeds United (3-7-5, 14th in the EPL) head to Stamford Bridge on Saturday where they'll take on Chelsea (10-3-2, 3rd in the EPL). The goalies protecting the net will be Edouard Mendy for Chelsea and Illan Meslier for Leeds United. The line on this matchup has Chelsea priced at -346 and the Whites are priced at +1105. The total is set at 2.75.

Chelsea faced off with West Ham United in their last game and took a loss by a final of 3-2. In the passing game, they ended the game with a 84.1% received passes rate by completing 519 out of their 617 pass targets last game. Chelsea attempted 14 dribbles in this game and were able to convert 11 of those attempts for a percentage of 78.6%.

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Regarding shot accuracy, Chelsea wrapped this game up at a 36.8% clip by putting 7 shots on target out of 19 shots. Chelsea is averaging 2.27 goals per 90 minutes (34 goals in total) and have tallied 24 assists in all games for this campaign.

Romelu Lukaku is a guy who can be a difference maker for Chelsea. He has totaled 60 assists while tallying 29 yellow card warnings during his soccer career. Lukaku has been in the starting lineup in 337 matches so far in his career and he accounts for 0.57 goals per 90 mins. The forward from Belgium has 195 goals scored in 30,633 mins played.

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One more guy who should impact this match is Kai Havertz, the forward born in Germany. Havertz has totaled 11,231 mins during 127 starting assignments and has been handed a total of 12 yellow card cautions. He has assisted on a goal 25 times in his career and he has scored 42 total goals. He currently averages 0.34 goals per 90 mins for his career.

The man who will protect the net for Chelsea is Edouard Mendy. Mendy has seen the pitch for a total of 13,378 mins and has accumulated 369 stops so far in his career. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 0.9 (127 total goals surrendered) and he has earned a save percentage of 77.5. The keeper from Senegal has seen 479 shots attempted against him in 149 career starts. Mendy (55-35-26 mark during his career) has accumulated 66 shutouts, which has him sitting with a 44.3% shutout percentage.

In their last outing, Leeds United earned the draw by finishing with a tally of 2-2 against Brentford. Leeds United had a 35.3% successful dribble percentage by connecting on 6 of the 17 dribbles they tried. They wrapped up this match by completing 440 out of their 509 passes they attempted for a rate of 86.4%. Leeds United landed 6 shots attempted out of their 13 shots attempted which had them at a 46.2% rate when they last stepped onto the pitch. With 15 goals and 10 assists for all their matches, Leeds United sports an average of 1.00 goal and 0.67 assists per 90 minutes.

Patrick Bamford should provide a lift for Leeds United. He scores 0.49 goals per 90 mins and has been given a starting assignment in 206 games during his soccer career. The forward who is from England has played 18,160 minutes while scoring 99 goals. He has accumulated 23 yellow cards so far in his pro soccer career and has helped on a goal 20 times. Be sure to keep an eye out for Kalvin Phillips, the midfielder representing England. He has scored 13 goals during his soccer career while helping on a goal 12 times. Phillips has been handed 49 yellow cards in 15,956 minutes played (183 starting assignments). His goals per 90 minute average in his career is 0.07.

Illan Meslier will be residing in front of the goal for Leeds United. During his career, Meslier has given up 110 goals while totaling 198 saves in 88 starting assignments. He has allowed 1.25 goals per 90 mins and he has a record of 39-22-27. He has a save % of 74.3 and his shutout rate is currently at 34.1%. Meslier has accumulated 30 shutouts and defended 268 shots against him in 7,920 mins throughout his career.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Leeds United (+1105) and under the total goals

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