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Napoli vs Bologna Prediction, 10/28/2021 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 10/25/2021

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Game: Napoli vs Bologna

Date: Thursday, October 28, 2021

Location: Stadio San Paolo in Naples, Italy

TV: Paramount+

Odds/Point Spread: Napoli (-271) Bologna (+771)

Marko Arnautovic and Bologna (3-3-3, 10th in Serie A) travel to Stadio San Paolo on Thursday where they'll meet Napoli (8-1-0, 1st in Serie A). The goalkeepers who are expected to start will be David Ospina for Napoli and Lukasz Skorupski for Bologna. Bologna are at at +771 while the Blues are at -271. The over/under has been set at 3.25.

Napoli played AS Roma in their last match and wrapped it up with a draw by a score of 0-0. In regard to passing, they finished this match with a 87.4% rate by converting 484 out of their 554 passing targets in their last outing. Napoli attempted 26 dribbles in this matchup and were able to convert 14 of those tries for a percentage of 53.8%.

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In regard to shooting accuracy, Napoli walked away from the pitch at a 18.2% rate by putting 2 SoT of 11 total shots. Napoli is averaging 2.11 goals per 90 min (19 goals in total) and have tallied 12 assists in all matches for the season.

Matteo Politano is a guy who should impact this matchup for Napoli. He has totaled 29 assists while accumulating 25 yellow card cautions so far in his pro soccer career. Politano has started 197 games in his career and he tallies 0.25 goals per 90 minutes. The forward representing Italy has totaled 48 goals in 16,988 professional minutes played.

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Someone else who should impact this game is Lorenzo Insigne, the forward born in Italy. He has assisted on a goal 83 times so far in his pro soccer career while he has scored 105 goals. Insigne has been on the field for 25,536 minutes in 296 starts and has been given 25 yellow card warnings. He averages 0.37 goals per 90 so far in his career.

The man protecting the net for Napoli is David Ospina. Ospina has seen the pitch for 24,241 minutes and is sitting with 815 stops in his pro soccer career. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.11 (299 goals surrendered) and he has earned a save % of 73.6. The goalie hailing from Colombia has seen 1,110 shots attempted at him in 272 career starting assignments. Ospina (118-63-89 record in his career) has accumulated 96 shutouts, which leaves him with a 35.3% clean sheet rate.

When they last played, Bologna walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 4-2 against AC Milan. Bologna had a 53.3% successful dribble rate by connecting on 8 out of the 15 dribbles they pursued. They wrapped up this match by connecting on 305 out of their 372 passing attempts for a percentage of 82.0%. Bologna had 4 shots on target out of 9 shots attempted which had them sitting at a 44.4% clip in their last outing. Having tallied 14 goals and 12 assists for all their games, Bologna averages 1.56 goals and 1.33 assists per 90 minutes.

Marko Arnautovic will need to be on top of his game for Bologna. He scores 0.34 G/90 and has had a starting assignment in 269 games during his pro soccer career. The forward representing Austria has accumulated 23,855 minutes while scoring 91 goals. He has 47 yellow cards during his pro soccer career and has assisted on a goal 54 times. You should also keep an eye on Musa Barrow, the forward hailing from Gambia. He has 25 goals during his pro soccer career while assisting on a goal 18 times. Barrow has been given 1 yellow card warning in 6,059 mins played (67 career starting assignments). His goals per 90 minute average during his pro soccer career is 0.37.

Lukasz Skorupski will look after the net for Bologna. Skorupski has accumulated 57 shutouts while seeing 1,092 shots against him in 21,600 career mins. He holds a save % of 70.2 and his shutout rate is currently 23.8%. He has given up 1.45 goals per 90 minutes and he has a mark of 77-60-103. Thus far in his career, Skorupski has given up 348 goals and has accounted for 763 saves in 240 starts.

Who will win tonight's Serie A game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Bologna (+771)

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