Alaves vs Real Madrid Prediction, 12/14/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 12/12/2025

Game: Alaves vs Real Madrid

Date: Sunday, December 14, 2025

Location: Mendizorrotza Stadium in Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain

TV: ESPN Deportes

Alaves (5-3-7) will compete against Real Madrid (11-3-2) at Mendizorrotza Stadium in Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain on Sunday. Alaves are priced at +110 while the Meringues are at -132. The total is 3. The starting goalkeepers are Antonio Sivera for Alaves and Thibaut Courtois for Real Madrid.

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The Babazorros sit at 15th when it comes to expected goals with 15.9, and their expected goals against are at 15.0. Deportivo Alaves surrendered 15 goals while surrendering 1.00 goals per 90 min, and opposing clubs have accounted for 48 SoT against them. Their differential on goals is currently at -2 with 13 goals accumulated and also 15 goals conceded. They have compiled 3 clean sheets, which has them sitting at a percentage of 20.0% this year. Alaves has recorded 33 SVs and also hold a SV percentage of 68.8% for the season. Alaves has compiled 36 yellow cards on the year and 1 red card. This year, the squad holds an average of 1.20 points per match (18 pts) and have a rank of 19th in Big 5 soccer with 5 assists.

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The Meringues hold an average of 2.3 pts per contest while having 25 assists and 4 red cards. The Meringues have accounted for a clean sheet percentage of 43.8% for the season as well as 30 yellow cards. Real Madrid sits at 4th in the category of goals surrendered having 15, and their goal differential is at 17. Over the course of the season, the Meringues have a save rate of 70.0% (50 SoTA), and they also are 2nd among Big 5 teams with 36 points. Their goals against per 90 minutes is currently at 0.94 in addition to 35 saves, and they are sitting with 7 clean sheets. Real Madrid has tallied 32 goals and their xG over the course of the season is 37.8.

The man protecting the net for Alavés is Antonio Sivera. Sivera has seen the field for 8,170 minutes and has accumulated 220 saves during his pro soccer career. Sivera (28-23-41 mark during his soccer career) has totaled 23 shutouts, which has earned him a 25.3%% shutout percentage. The keeper hailing from Spain has faced 319 shots tried at him in 92 starts. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.13 (103 goals given up) and he has earned a save % of 69.0%.

Thibaut Courtois will be residing in front of the goal for Real Madrid. During his pro soccer career, Courtois has allowed 401 goals and has accumulated 1,075 saves in 453 starting assignments. He has allowed 0.89 goals per 90 mins while he holds a record of 282-93-75. He is the owner of a save percentage of 72.9% and his shutout rate is 42.8%%. Courtois has earned 193 clean sheets while defending 1,475 shots against him in 40,556 minutes throughout his career.

Denis Suarez is one member of the team who can help decide the match for Alavés. The midfielder hailing from Spain has totaled 32 goals scored in 21,563 mins played. Suarez has had a starting assignment in 236 outings in his career while scoring 0.13 goals per 90. He has 54 assists while tallying 118 pts so far in his career.

Real Madrid stars Kylian Mbappe, who gets under the skin of opposing sides. He is averaging 0.91 goals per 90 minutes and has been in the starting lineup in 372 matches thus far in his career. The forward born in France has played 33,495 mins and has scored 339 goals. He has 791 points during his pro soccer career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 113 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Alaves (-132)

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Alaves vs Real Madrid Prediction, 12/14/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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