Atalanta vs Como Prediction, 10/4/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 10/1/2025

Game: Atalanta vs Como

Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025

Location: Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo, Italy

TV: ESPN+

Atalanta (2-3-0) will play Como (2-2-1) at Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo, Italy on Saturday. The Goddess are priced at -122 and the Blue and Whites are at +102. The over/under is set at 3. The starting goalies will be Marco Carnesecchi for Atalanta and Jean Butez for Como.

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Atalanta B.C. has give up 4 goals while conceding 0.80 goals per 90 minutes, and their oppositition have a total of 23 SoT against them. They have compiled 1 clean sheet, which puts them at a rate of 20.0% so far this season. Atalanta has compiled 7 yellow card warnings for the year as well as 1 red card. The Goddess have a rank of 4th in relation to goals expected with 7.2, and the team's xGA are coming in at 4.5. Over the course of the season, the squad has an average of 1.80 pts/match (9 points) and also are 2nd in European soccer with 8 assists. This team's goal differential is at 6 by 10 goals put in the net and 4 goals allowed. Atalanta has earned 19 SVs and also have a SV percentage of 82.6% this season.

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The Blue and Whites come in with an average of 1.6 points per contest while earning 5 assists and 2 red cards. The Blue and Whites have recorded a clean sheet rate of 20.0% so far this season and also 14 yellow card warnings. Como has a rank of 4th when talking about goals given up with 4, and their goal difference is sitting at 2. So far this year, the Blue and Whites have a save % of 60.0% (10 SoTA), and they also sit at 8th among European teams with 8 pts. Their goals against/90 min is 0.80 in addition to 6 saves, and they have earned 1 clean sheet. Como has amassed 6 goals and their xG for the season is at 6.4.

The guy who is expected to defend the goal for Atalanta is Marco Carnesecchi. Carnesecchi has been on the pitch for a total of 8,365 minutes and has 298 stops in his career. Carnesecchi (40-24-29 record in his career) has accumulated 26 clean sheets, which has earned him a 28.0%% clean sheet percentage. The keeper hailing from Italy has had 412 shots sent his way in 93 starts. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.24 (115 goals given up) and he holds a save % of 72.3%.

Jean Butez is expected to look after the goal for Como. Thus far in his career, Butez has conceded 24 goals and has racked up 54 saves in 23 starts. He sports a save % of 69.2% and his shutout rate is currently 25.5%%. He has conceded 1.02 goals per 90 minutes while he holds a record of 10-6-7. Butez has tallied 6 clean sheets and has defended 78 shots tried against him in 2,116 career minutes.

Mario Pasalic is a player who can make a noticable difference for Atalanta. The midfielder who is from Croatia has recorded 85 goals scored in 26,273 mins. Pasalic has had a starting assignment in 300 contests during his soccer career and he scores 0.29 goals per 90 minutes. He has accounted for 44 assists while accumulating 214 pts so far in his career.

Como has a player in Alvaro Morata, who defenders will be preparing for in this game. He sports an average of 0.56 goals per 90 minutes and has started 348 matches during his pro soccer career. The forward from Spain has totaled 31,668 minutes and has earned 196 goals. He has 457 points so far in his career and has assisted on a goal 65 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atalanta (+102)

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Pick:	Inter Miami +145
Start:	November 1, 2025 @ 7:30 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. MLS Take Inter Miami +145 over Nashville (7:30 p.m. EST, Saturday November 1) (Graded after regulation time - 90min - plus injury time – a DRAW is a loser here) These sides have played in consecutive matches, one in Nashville and one in Miami, and the result was the same with a dominating win by Messi and company. Messi has notched five goals himself in these two matches while Nashville’s whole team combined for only three goals. We just don’t think that home pitch will matter here and Miami wants to end this series in two matches. They have clearly looked like the best side in MLS with recent play and they have turned it up a notch and have been playing championship caliber football for their last four matches, where they have a goal differential of +12. Nashville will give a last gasp here and we don’t think this will be another blowout, but we do expect Miami to win by at least a goal and put this series to bed after two matches. Read More Read Less

Atalanta vs Como Prediction, 10/4/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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