FSV Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim Prediction, 11/21/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 11/17/2025

Game: FSV Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim

Date: Friday, November 21, 2025

Location: Mewa Arena in Mainz, Germany

TV: ESPN+

FSV Mainz 05 (1-2-7) will try to defeat Hoffenheim (6-1-3) at Mewa Arena in Mainz, Germany on Friday. FSV Mainz 05 are priced at +132 and the Kraichgauer are at -160. The over/under is set at 3. The expected starting goaltenders are Robin Zentner for FSV Mainz 05 and Oliver Baumann for Hoffenheim.

soccer picks Lee Jae-sung FSV Mainz 05 predictions best bet odds

The O-Fives rank 12th in the matter of expected goals having 12.5, and the expected goals against are at 15.7. Mainz 05 has surrendered 18 goals while allowing 1.80 goals per 90, and the opposition have amassed 48 shots on target against them. The team's difference in goals is currently at -8 because of 10 goals accumulated in addition to 18 goals conceded. The team hasn't compiled a clean sheet on the campaign. Mainz has a total of 30 saves and hold a SV% of 62.5% over the course of the season. FSV Mainz 05 has amassed 26 yellow card warnings for the year as well as 3 red cards. For the year, this team has an average of 0.50 pts per fixture (5 points) and also rank 18th in European soccer with 4 assists.

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Hoffenheim has recorded 21 goals and the team's expected goals over the course of the season is currently at 16.4. This club's goals against per 90 min is currently at 1.60 in addition to 29 saves, and they have amassed 1 clean sheet. For the season, Hoffenheim has a save % of 64.4% (45 SoT against), and also have a rank of 6th in European soccer with 19 pts. Hoffenheim has a ranking of 9th in relation to goals conceded having 16, and their goal difference sits at 5. Hoffenheim has a shut out % of 10.0% so far this season and 21 yellow cards. The Kraichgauer are averaging 1.9 points per contest while compiling 17 assists.

The man who is expected to protect the net for Mainz 05 is Robin Zentner. Zentner has defended the goal for 18,471 mins and has 600 stops so far in his pro soccer career. The goalkeeper hailing from Germany has seen 906 shots attempted against him in 206 starting assignments. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.50 (307 goals allowed) and he holds a save percentage of 66.2%. Zentner (66-57-83 mark during his soccer career) has recorded 45 shutouts, which leaves him with a 21.9%% shutout rate.

Oliver Baumann is expected to look after the net for Hoffenheim. In his career, Baumann has conceded 788 goals while tallying 1,733 stops in 499 starting assignments. He is the owner of a save % of 68.7% and his shutout rate sits at 21.8%%. He has given up 1.58 goals per 90 minutes while holding a record of 179-131-189. Baumann has earned 109 shutouts while seeing 2,521 shots against him in 44,910 career minutes.

Lee Jae-sung is a footballer who can be a difference maker for Mainz 05. sung has been given a starting assignment in 337 games thus far in his career while scoring 0.23 goals per 90 mins. The midfielder from Korea has accumulated 74 goals in 29,295 minutes played. He has 55 assists while tallying 203 points during his career.

Hoffenheim features Andrej Kramaric, who can change the course of a fixture. The midfielder representing Croatia has totaled 35,938 professional minutes while earning 223 goals. He averages 0.56 goals per 90 mins and has been a starter in 394 matches in his career. He has 527 pts during his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 81 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take FSV Mainz 05 (-160)

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Pick:	Cincinnati +170
Start:	November 23, 2025 @ 5:00 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. MLS Take Cincinnati +170 over Inter Miami (5 p.m. EST, Sunday November 23) (Graded after regulation time - 90min - plus injury time – a DRAW is a loser here) This line is the Messi Effect as there is great value on the Orange and Blue here at home at TQL Stadium for this single- elimination playoff match. Cincinnati got the advantage of playing at home by having a better record, and the fact that they are above Miami in the standings yet an underdog here at home tells you all you need to know about where the bookies expect the money to come in on this one. Messi is the biggest draw in MLS and he brings in all the cash. But this will be no easy match for Inter Miami. Miami has just two road wins in eight matches since the summer. They are just not as good of a team on the road as they are at home. Cincinnati is a very good team. Last time Miami visited, in July, they held Messi in check but came up big offensively in a 3-0 win. They have a +8 goal differential in their last two home matches against Miami. Just really great value here at this price and we expect Cincinnati to go through to the conference finals. Read More Read Less

FSV Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim Prediction, 11/21/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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