Monza vs Empoli Prediction, 5/18/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 5/13/2025

Game: Monza vs Empoli

Date: Sunday, May 18, 2025

Location: U-Power Stadium in Monza, Italy

TV: Paramount+

U-Power Stadium in Monza, Italy is the location where Empoli (5-13-18) will try to beat Monza (3-9-24) on Sunday. The White and Reds are priced at +220 while the Blues are at -275. The total comes in at 3. The starting goalkeepers will be Semuel Pizzignacco for Monza and Devis Vasquez for Empoli.

soccer picks Patrick Ciurria Monza predictions best bet odds

A.C. Monza has conceded 64 goals while conceding 1.78 goals per 90 minutes, and opponents have tallied 173 shots on target against them. They have accounted for 3 shut outs, which gives them a percentage of 8.3% this year. Monza has tallied 89 yellow cards this year and also 3 red cards. The White and Reds are 96th in the matter of goals expected with 28.4, and the team's xGA sit at 52.0. This season, the club has an average of 0.50 points per contest (18 points) and also are 92nd among Big 5 teams with 17 assists. This team's difference in goals is currently at -37 by means of 27 goals earned and also 64 goals surrendered. Monza has a total of 109 SVs and they also hold a SV% of 63.0% this year.

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Empoli has amassed 29 goals and their expected goals for the year is 30.3. Their goals against/90 minutes is 1.56 in addition to 96 saves, and they have accounted for 6 shutouts. On the season, the Blues have a save % of 63.2% (152 SoT against), and sit at 86th in Big 5 soccer with 28 pts. Empoli is 75th when it comes to goals surrendered having 56, and the team's goal difference sits at -27. The Blues have recorded a shut out % of 16.7% this year and 65 yellow card cautions. The Blues hold an average of 0.8 points per contest while totaling 19 assists and 5 red cards.

The guy protecting the net for Monza will be Semuel Pizzignacco. Pizzignacco has been on the pitch for a total of 564 minutes and has 16 stops so far in his career. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.90 (12 total goals allowed) and he holds a save % of 57.1%. The goalie from Italy has faced 28 shots tried at him in 6 starts. Pizzignacco (1-2-3 mark in his career) has accumulated 1 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 15.9%% clean sheet percentage.

Devis Vasquez will look after the goal for Empoli. So far in his career, Vasquez has given up 42 goals and has racked up 76 saves in 30 starting assignments. Vasquez has totaled 6 shutouts while defending 119 shots attempted against him in 2,700 mins in his career. He has a save % of 63.9% and his clean sheet rate sits at 20.0%%. He has conceded 1.40 goals per 90 and he has a record of 5-12-13.

Dany Mota is one player who can be a force for Monza. The midfielder from Portugal has earned 34 goals scored in 11,490 mins. Mota has been a starter in 129 matchups thus far in his career and tallies 0.27 goals per 90 minutes. He has accounted for 11 assists while accumulating 79 pts in his pro soccer career.

Empoli features a difference maker in Sebastiano Esposito, who should keep defenses up at night. The forward from Italy has 8,460 minutes while he has scored 31 goals. He is currently averaging 0.33 G/90 and has been in the starting lineup in 95 outings during his career. He has accumulated 75 pts during his career and has helped a teammate on a goal 13 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Empoli (+220)

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Pick:	Borussia Dortmund -2.5 (-135)
Start:	May 17, 2025 @ 9:30 AM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Comp German Bundesliga Soccer Play from Doc’s Sports. Take Borussia Dortmund -2.5 (-135) over Holstein Kiel (9:30 a.m. EST, Saturday May 17) (Graded after regulation time - 90min - plus injury time) The last time these sides met at Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund, the home side cruised to a 5-0 victory. We feel that there is a great chance we see that type of match here. Dortmund is one point out of Champions League qualification, right behind Freiburg, and three points is crucial here. Holstein Kiel has already been relegated, so they have lost their fighting spirit here and will be preparing for their stint in the second division next season. The home side has won five straight and beat Wolfsburg 4-0 in their last home match. They should have a similar type game here, as they need these points badly and they will not leave anything to chance as they will attack early and often against an overmatched opponent. Read More Read Less

Monza vs Empoli Prediction, 5/18/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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