Napoli vs Genoa Prediction, 10/5/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 10/1/2025

Game: Napoli vs Genoa

Date: Sunday, October 5, 2025

Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in Naples, Italy

TV: ESPN+

Napoli (4-0-1) welcomes Genoa (0-2-3) at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in Naples, Italy on Sunday. The Blues are priced at -130 while Genoa are at +110. The over/under is 3. The men protecting the net will be Alex Meret for Napoli and Nicola Leali for Genoa.

soccer picks Alex Meret Napoli predictions best bet odds

The Blues are ranked 1st in relation to xG with 9.0, and the expected goals against are sitting at 5.5. S.S.C. Napoli has relinquished 5 goals while giving up 1.00 goals per 90 min, and opposing clubs have a total of 15 SoT on them. Their differential on goals is at 5 by way of 10 goals put in the net as well as 5 goals conceded. They have compiled 2 clean sheets, giving them a percentage of 40.0% over the course of the season. Napoli has earned 10 SVs and have a save% of 66.7% so far this season. Napoli has 4 yellow cards on the season. So far this season, the club averages 2.40 pts/match (12 pts) and they also have a rank of 7th in European soccer with 6 assists.

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On the year, Genoa C.F.C. has a save rate of 61.1% (18 SoTA), and also rank 18th among European teams with 2 pts. The Griffin come in with an average of 0.4 pts per match while amassing 1 assist. Genoa has accounted for 2 goals and the team's xG this year sits at 5.4. Genoa C.F.C. has a CS% of 20.0% for the year and also 15 yellow card warnings. Their goals against per 90 is at 1.40 with 11 saves, and they have accumulated 1 clean sheet. Genoa has a rank of 14th in relation to goals conceded with 7, and the team's difference in goals is -5.

The man protecting the net for Napoli is Alex Meret. Meret has seen the field for 16,057 mins and has earned 405 stops during his pro soccer career. Meret (98-46-35 record in his career) has earned 59 shutouts, which leaves him with a 33.1%% shutout percentage. The goalkeeper from Italy has faced 593 shots attempted at him in 179 career starts. His goals against per 90 minutes is 1.04 (186 goals surrendered) and he has earned a save percentage of 68.3%.

Nicola Leali will be looking after the net for Genoa. So far in his career, Leali has allowed 149 goals while tallying 309 saves in 98 starting assignments. He sports a save percentage of 67.8% and his clean sheet rate is 22.6%%. He has allowed 1.53 goals per 90 and he has earned a mark of 21-27-50. Leali has 22 clean sheets and has defended 456 shots tried against him in 8,756 career minutes.

Kevin De Bruyne is one footballer who has a chance to score for Napoli. De Bruyne has been a starter in 545 matches in his pro soccer career and scores 0.30 goals per 90 minutes. The midfielder representing Belgium has earned 156 goals in 47,323 professional minutes played. He has 235 assists while tallying 547 pts so far in his pro soccer career.

Genoa has an attacker in Ruslan Malinovskyi, who can cause havoc on the pitch. He scores 0.27 goals per 90 mins and has been a starter in 251 matches during his soccer career. The midfielder hailing from Ukraine has been on the field for 22,327 minutes and has earned 67 goals. He has earned 203 points so far in his pro soccer career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 69 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Napoli (+110)

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Napoli vs Genoa Prediction, 10/5/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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