New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati Prediction, 5/4/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 4/30/2025

Game: New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati

Date: Sunday, May 4, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: MLS Season Pass

FCC (7-1-2) are en route to Citi Field in Queens, NY on Sunday where they will compete against NYCFC (4-2-4). NYCFC is priced at -210 and FCC is at +172. The betting total comes in at 3. The goalies protecting the net will be Matt Freese for New York City and Roman Celentano for Cincinnati.

soccer picks Yuya Kubo FC Cincinnati predictions best bet odds

NYCFC has give up 13 goals while relinquishing 1.30 goals per 90 min, and the other team have a total of 45 SoT on them. They have compiled 3 clean sheets, which gives them a % of 30.0% for the season. New York City has recorded 14 yellow card warnings this year and 1 red card. The Pigeons have a ranking of 19th in the matter of expected goals with 13.3, and their xGA are 13.8. So far this season, the squad has an average of 1.40 pts per fixture (14 pts) and have a ranking of 24th in MLS with 5 assists. The team's goal differential is currently at -1 with the help of 12 goals scored in addition to 13 goals allowed. New York City FC has tallied 34 saves and they have a save rate of 71.1% so far this year.

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The Orange and Blue sport an average of 2.2 points per match while amassing 8 assists and 1 red card. Cincinnati has earned a clean sheet % of 40.0% on the season as well as 19 yellow card warnings. FC Cincinnati ranks 12th in regard to goals surrendered with 12, and the squad's difference in goals sits at 3. On the season, Cincinnati has a save percentage of 68.4% (38 shots on target against), and also are ranked 2nd in MLS with 22 points. The team's goals against per 90 minutes is currently at 1.20 with 26 saves, and they have a total of 4 clean sheets. FC Cincinnati has accumulated 15 goals and this squad's expected goals on the year is currently at 12.7.

The man who will protect the net for New York City will be Matt Freese. Freese has been on the field for 5,814 minutes and is sitting with 211 stops so far in his pro soccer career. Freese (26-20-20 mark in his professional soccer career) has earned 15 clean sheets, which has earned him a 23.2%% clean sheet percentage. The goalkeeper hailing from the United States has seen 290 shots tried at him in 66 career starts. His goals against per 90 minutes is 1.25 (81 total goals conceded) and he has earned a save % of 72.8%.

Roman Celentano will be looking after the net for Cincinnati. In his career, Celentano has given up 133 goals and has earned 284 saves in 100 starting assignments. He has conceded 1.33 goals per 90 while earning a record of 53-27-20. He has earned a save percentage of 68.4% and his shutout rate is currently at 28.0%%. Celentano has accumulated 28 clean sheets and has defended 415 shots attempted against him in 9,000 career mins.

Alonso Martinez is one member of the squad you are going to want to keep your eye on for New York City. The forward born in Costa Rica has earned 21 goals scored in 2,221 mins. Martinez has been a starter in 27 matches so far in his pro soccer career and scores 0.84 goals per 90 minutes. He has totaled 3 assists while accumulating 45 points during his soccer career.

Cincinnati features an attacker in Evander, who can change the course of a fixture. He has accumulated 80 pts during his pro soccer career and has helped a teammate on a goal 20 times. The midfielder from Brazil has totaled 5,207 minutes while he has scored 30 goals. He averages 0.52 goals per 90 mins and has had a starting assignment in 58 games so far in his pro soccer career.

Who will win tonight's soccer game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take FC Cincinnati (-210)

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Pick:	DRAW (+230)
Start:	May 3, 2025 @ 12:30 AM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Comp Soccer pick from Doc’s Sports for Saturday: Spanish LaLiga Take Las Palmas/Valencia DRAW (+230) (12:30 p.m. EST, Saturday May 3) Valencia are the stronger side but they haven’t had the winning touch lately. They are coming off consecutive draws, and we think this one has a great chance to end up at a stalemate, and this is a great price for the draw. As of this writing, the under on total goals is juiced at -130 at 2.5, so a low scoring match is expected and we agree. So we have a couple chances at 0-0 or 1-1 for the under if it is indeed a low scoring match. Las Palmas has a single goal in their last two matches, and Valencia have scored one goal in three straight matches. We also like to target the draw in a likely low scoring match when the stronger team is the road side, and that is the case here on Saturday. Valencia have the second highest draw rate in LaLiga, as more than a third of their matches have ended tied. Again, nice value here and we think this one has a great chance to cash at a hefty price. Read More Read Less

New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati Prediction, 5/4/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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