New York City FC vs Nashville SC Prediction, 8/17/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 8/14/2025

Game: New York City FC vs Nashville SC

Date: Sunday, August 17, 2025

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: MLS Season Pass

NYCFC (11-5-8) are hosting Nashville SC (14-5-7) at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY on Sunday. NYCFC is priced at +102 and Nashville SC are at -122. The total is 3. The goalkeepers protecting the net will be Matt Freese for New York City and Joe Willis for Nashville.

soccer picks Matt Freese New York City FC predictions best bet odds

New York City FC has a total of 78 SVs and also are the owners of a save rate of 71.8% on the season. Their goal differential is currently at 5 as a result of 34 goals tallied and 29 goals given up. So far this season, this squad has put together an average of 1.58 pts/match (38 pts) and also sit at 16th in Major League Soccer with 24 assists. The Pigeons are 17th in expected goals with 35.5, and the expected goals against sit at 31.1. New York City has recorded 42 yellow cards on the year and also 1 red card. NYCFC has surrendered 29 goals while conceding 1.21 goals per 90 min, and opponents have earned 103 shots on target against them. They have compiled 7 shut outs, which puts them at a rate of 29.2% on the campaign.

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The Nashville Soccer Club are averaging 1.8 points per match while recording 29 assists and 1 red card. Nashville has compiled a shut out % of 34.6% for the year and also 44 yellow card cautions. Nashville SC sits at 5th concerning goals surrendered having 29, and the team's goal differential is coming in at 14. This year, Nashville has a save rate of 70.1% (97 SoT against), and also are 4th among MLS teams with 47 pts. This club's goals against per 90 is currently at 1.12 with 67 saves, and they have tallied 9 clean sheets. Nashville SC has recorded 43 goals and this squad's xG this season is currently at 45.3.

The man who will protect the net for New York City will be Matt Freese. Freese has been on the field for 6,804 mins and has 245 stops in his career. The goalie hailing from the United States has had 337 shots attempted at him in 77 career starts. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.26 (95 goals conceded) and he holds a save % of 72.7%. Freese (31-23-23 mark during his soccer career) has accounted for 18 clean sheets, which has him sitting with a 23.8%% clean sheet percentage.

Joe Willis will be residing in front of the goal for Nashville. In his pro soccer career, Willis has given up 384 goals and has racked up 870 saves in 286 starts. He has earned a save % of 69.5% and his clean sheet rate is 26.4%%. He has allowed 1.33 goals per 90 minutes while he holds a record of 101-81-106. Willis has totaled 76 clean sheets while seeing 1,252 shots tried against him in 25,945 mins throughout his career.

Alonso Martinez is a member of the team who should impact this matchup for New York City. Martinez has been a starter in 40 matchups during his pro soccer career and he accounts for 0.76 goals per 90 mins. The forward born in Costa Rica has totaled 28 goals in 3,336 minutes. He has 4 assists while accumulating 60 points thus far in his career.

Nashville features a difference maker in Sam Surridge, who has been known to frustrate defenses. He has accumulated 69 points during his pro soccer career and has helped on a goal 5 times. The forward from England has earned 5,114 minutes and has scored 32 goals. He scores 0.56 goals per 90 minutes and has had a starting assignment in 58 contests during his pro soccer career.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York City FC (-122)

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Pick:	OVER 40.5
Start:	August 16, 2025 @ 1:00 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

FFree Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #405 Over 40.5 in Green Bay Packers @ Indianapolis Colts (1p.m., Saturday, August 16 local) The Packers got destroyed at home in Week 1 of the preseason and I look for them to come back strong in Week 2. They will focus on offense this week during camp and 1 see them scoring over 20 points in this game. Overs had good success in Week 1 of the exhibition season and I do not believe the totals have been properly adjusted to the amount of scoring. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend card featuring plays in MLB, NFLX, UFC, and WNBA. Sign-up now with a long term package and let 54 years of handicapping experience work for you. Read More Read Less

New York City FC vs Nashville SC Prediction, 8/17/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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