Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC Prediction, 10/4/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 10/1/2025

Game: Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC

Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025

Location: Subaru Park in Chester, PA

TV: MLS Season Pass

NYCFC (17-5-10) are hitting the road to Subaru Park in Chester, PA on Saturday where they will go up against the Zolos (19-6-7). The Zolos are priced at -144 while NYCFC is at +120. The over/under is set at 3. The goaltenders who are expected to start are Andre Blake for Philadelphia and Matt Freese for New York City.

soccer picks Kai Wagner Philadelphia Union predictions best bet odds

The Union have conceded 33 goals while giving up 1.03 goals per 90, and opposing teams have earned 98 SoT on them. They have earned 13 clean sheets, which puts them at a rate of 40.6% for the season. Philadelphia has tallied 83 yellow card warnings this year as well as 4 red cards. The Union are 6th concerning xG having 55.4, and the expected goals against sit at 38.1. For the season, this team sports an average of 1.97 points per match (63 pts) and also are 4th in MLS with 43 assists. Their differential on goals is 23 as a result of 56 goals put in the net in addition to 33 goals conceded. Philadelphia has earned 65 saves and they also hold a save percentage of 66.3% on the season.

Get all of our Soccer Betting Picks

New York City FC has totaled 49 goals and the squad's expected goals on the season is currently at 48.8. This club's goals against/90 minutes is currently at 1.28 in addition to 95 saves, and they have accumulated 9 clean sheets. On the season, NYCFC has a save % of 69.2% (133 SoT against), and they also are 5th in MLS with 56 pts. NYCFC is 10th in relation to goals allowed having 41, and their goal difference is sitting at 8. NYCFC has a clean sheet percentage of 28.1% on the year and 59 yellow card warnings. The Pigeons have an average of 1.8 points per contest while totaling 34 assists and 1 red card.

The guy defending the goal for Philadelphia is Andre Blake. Blake has seen the pitch for a total of 23,543 minutes and has earned 786 stops in his pro soccer career. The keeper born in Jamaica has had 1,095 shots tried at him in 265 career starting assignments. His GA/90 is 1.19 (311 total goals surrendered) and his save percentage is 71.8%. Blake (120-64-81 record in his career) has earned 83 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 31.8%% clean sheet percentage.

Matt Freese is expected to look after the goal for New York City. In his career, Freese has conceded 107 goals while tallying 262 stops in 85 starts. He has surrendered 1.28 goals per 90 minutes while earning a mark of 37-23-25. He has a save percentage of 71.4% and his shutout rate sits at 23.9%%. Freese has accumulated 20 clean sheets while defending 367 shots tried against him in 7,500 mins throughout his career.

Mikael Uhre is one member of the team who can make an impact for Philadelphia. Uhre has been a starter in 86 contests in his career and he tallies 0.48 goals per 90 mins. The forward representing Denmark has accumulated 37 goals scored in 6,988 mins played. He has 18 assists while accumulating 92 pts during his pro soccer career.

New York City has a guy in Alonso Martinez, who defenders will be preparing for in this game. He has totaled 70 points during his soccer career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 4 times. The forward representing Costa Rica has played 3,869 professional minutes while scoring 33 goals. He is averaging 0.77 goals per 90 mins and has been given a starting assignment in 46 matches so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's soccer game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York City FC (-144)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get all of Today's Free Soccer Picks

Get all of Today's Expert Soccer Picks

Start:	October 22, 2025 @ 10:00 PM
Expert:	Nick Menken
Free $60 Account Sign Up

Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC Prediction, 10/4/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

Most Recent Soccer Picks