Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis CITY SC Prediction, 7/5/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 6/30/2025

Game: Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis CITY SC

Date: Saturday, July 5, 2025

Location: America First Field in Sandy, UT

TV: MLS Season Pass

CITY (3-6-11) are hitting the road to America First Field in Sandy, UT on Saturday where they will try to defeat RSL (5-4-10). RSL is priced at +220 and St. Louis is at -275. The over/under is 3. The expected starting goalkeepers will be Rafael Cabral for Salt Lake and Roman Burki for St. Louis.

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RSL has allowed 26 goals while conceding 1.37 goals per 90 minutes, and the opposition have accounted for 81 shots on target against them. They have amassed 4 clean sheets, which has them at a percentage of 21.1% on the campaign. Salt Lake has recorded 52 yellow card warnings on the season and 4 red cards. The Claret and Cobalt have a rank of 25th in expected goals with 23.5, and the expected goals against sit at 31.0. On the season, the squad comes in with an average of 1.00 pts/match (19 pts) and also sit at 29th among MLS teams with 10 assists. Their goal differential is -7 by way of 19 goals scored as well as 26 goals conceded. Real Salt Lake has accounted for 53 SVs and also hold a save rate of 67.9% for the season.

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St. Louis City SC has amassed 19 goals and the squad's xG so far this year sits at 26.1. This team's goals against per 90 minutes is at 1.55 in addition to 75 saves, and they have compiled 5 clean sheets. On the year, CITY has a save percentage of 71.0% (107 SoT against), and also are ranked 28th in MLS with 15 pts. St. Louis is 21st when it comes to goals surrendered having 31, and the difference in goals is sitting at -12. St. Louis has a clean sheet % of 25.0% on the campaign and 43 yellow cards. The St. Louis Soccer Club average 0.8 points per match while tallying 11 assists and 3 red cards.

The man who is expected to defend the goal for Salt Lake will be Rafael Cabral. Cabral has played for 1,710 minutes and has accumulated 53 stops so far in his pro soccer career. The keeper from Brazil has faced 81 shots tried at him in 19 career starts. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.37 (26 total goals conceded) and he is the owner of a save percentage of 65.4%. Cabral (5-4-10 mark in his professional soccer career) has accounted for 4 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 21.1%% shutout rate.

Roman Burki will look after the net for St. Louis. During his career, Burki has given up 114 goals and has earned 267 stops in 76 starts. He has given up 1.51 goals per 90 and he has a record of 27-22-27. He has earned a save percentage of 71.0% and his clean sheet rate is 23.9%%. Burki has earned 18 shutouts while defending 376 shots against him in 6,781 minutes throughout his career.

Diogo Goncalves is one man who can be a difference maker for Salt Lake. He has accounted for 2 assists while accumulating 8 pts in his pro soccer career. The forward born in Portugal has earned 3 goals scored in 1,689 minutes played. Goncalves has had a starting assignment in 20 outings during his pro soccer career and he scores 0.16 goals per 90 mins.

St. Louis has a playmaker in Simon Becher, who gives opposing coaches headaches. He is averaging 0.48 goals per 90 minutes and has been in the starting lineup in 19 contests thus far in his career. The forward representing the United States has earned 2,076 mins and has earned 11 goals. He has totaled 23 pts so far in his career and has assisted on a goal 1 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Real Salt Lake (-275)

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Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis CITY SC Prediction, 7/5/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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