SC Freiburg vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, 11/30/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: SC Freiburg vs FSV Mainz 05
Date: Sunday, November 30, 2025
Location: Europa-Park Stadion in Freiburg im Breisgau, Germany
TV: ESPN+
The O-Fives (1-3-7) are on their way to Europa-Park Stadion in Freiburg im Breisgau, Germany on Sunday where they will take on SC Freiburg (3-4-4). SC Freiburg are priced at -196 while the O-Fives are at +162. The betting total is set at 3. The goaltenders who are expected to start will be Noah Atubolu for SC Freiburg and Robin Zentner for FSV Mainz 05.

The Breisgau Brazilians rank 14th concerning expected goals having 13.7, and the xGA are 14.8. Sport-Club Freiburg has surrendered 20 goals while conceding 1.82 goals per 90 minutes, and opponents have tallied 46 shots on target on them. The team's difference in goals is -5 with 15 goals finished in addition to 20 goals given up. They have accounted for 3 clean sheets, giving them a rate of 27.3% for the year. Freiburg has tallied 25 SVs and they also hold a save percentage of 56.5% on the season. SC Freiburg has earned 17 yellow cards on the campaign in addition to 2 red cards. For the season, this team holds an average of 1.18 pts per match (13 points) and also have a rank of 16th in European soccer with 6 assists.
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Mainz has earned 11 goals and the team's expected goals for the year sits at 14.4. This team's goals against per 90 minutes is currently at 1.73 in addition to 34 saves. Over the course of the season, Mainz has a save rate of 63.5% (52 shots on target against), and they also are ranked 17th among European teams with 6 pts. Mainz 05 sits at 11th in relation to goals against with 19, and their goal differential is sitting at -8. Mainz 05 has racked up 29 yellow cards. The O-Fives are averaging 0.5 points per contest while compiling 5 assists and 4 red cards.
The man who will defend the goal for Freiburg will be Noah Atubolu. Atubolu has defended the goal for a total of 6,357 mins and is sitting with 205 stops so far in his pro soccer career. Atubolu (26-19-26 mark in his career) has totaled 23 clean sheets, which gives him a 32.6%% clean sheet rate. The goalie born in Germany has had 324 shots sent his way in 71 career starting assignments. His GA/90 is 1.63 (115 total goals surrendered) and he has earned a save percentage of 63.3%.
Robin Zentner will be residing in front of the net for Mainz 05. Thus far in his career, Zentner has conceded 308 goals while tallying 604 stops in 207 starts. He has given up 1.49 goals per 90 while earning a mark of 66-58-83. He has earned a save percentage of 66.4% and his clean sheet rate is currently at 21.8%%. Zentner has accumulated 45 clean sheets while seeing 910 shots attempted against him in 18,561 minutes throughout his career.
Vincenzo Grifo is one man who should impact this matchup for Freiburg. The forward hailing from Italy has tallied 106 goals scored in 29,319 minutes. Grifo has been given a starting assignment in 338 games during his soccer career while scoring 0.33 goals per 90 mins. He has accounted for 93 assists while accumulating 305 pts during his pro soccer career.
Mainz 05 stars Lee Jae-sung, who defenders will be preparing for in this game. The midfielder born in Korea has 29,361 minutes and has scored 74 goals. He is averaging 0.23 G/90 and has had a starting assignment in 338 contests during his pro soccer career. He has totaled 203 pts during his pro soccer career and has helped on a goal 55 times.
Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take SC Freiburg (+162)
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