St. Pauli vs Union Berlin Prediction, 11/23/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: St. Pauli vs Union Berlin
Date: Sunday, November 23, 2025
Location: Millerntor-Stadion in Hamburg, Germany
TV: ESPN+
The Iron Ones (3-3-4) are en route to Millerntor-Stadion in Hamburg, Germany on Sunday where they will attempt to beat St. Pauli (2-1-7). St. Pauli are priced at +150 and the Iron Ones are at -182. The total is set at 3. The starting goaltenders are Nikola Vasilj for St. Pauli and Frederik Ronnow for Union Berlin.

St. Pauli has earned 35 SVs and are the owners of a save% of 64.9% on the campaign. This team's differential on goals is -11 by way of 9 goals put in the net and also 20 goals conceded. On the year, this club averages 0.70 pts per match (7 pts) and they also are ranked 17th in European soccer with 5 assists. The Neighbourhood Kickers are 18th in regard to goals expected with 9.7, and the squad's expected goals against are coming in at 15.4. St. Pauli has tallied 20 yellow cards over the course of the season. Sport-Club St. Pauli has conceded 20 goals while giving up 2.00 goals per 90 minutes, and opposing clubs are sitting with 57 shots on target on them. They have a total of 1 clean sheet, giving them a % of 10.0% on the year.
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Berlin has totaled 13 goals and the squad's xG this season sits at 11.4. This club's goals against per 90 min is at 1.70 in addition to 35 saves, and they are sitting with 2 shut outs. So far this year, Berlin has a save rate of 67.3% (52 SoTA), and also sit at 11th among European teams with 12 points. Union Berlin sits at 10th when it comes to goals allowed having 17, and the difference in goals is sitting at -4. 1. FC Union Berlin has a clean sheet percentage of 20.0% over the course of the season in addition to 25 yellow cards. The Iron Ones average 1.2 pts per match while recording 7 assists and 1 red card.
The man who is expected to protect the net for St. Pauli will be Nikola Vasilj. Vasilj has been on the pitch for a total of 3,869 mins and has earned 128 saves in his career. His GA/90 is 1.37 (59 goals surrendered) and he holds a save % of 66.7%. The goalkeeper born in Bosnia has had 192 shots sent in his direction in 43 career starting assignments. Vasilj (10-8-25 mark during his soccer career) has totaled 10 shutouts, which leaves him with a 23.3%% clean sheet rate.
Frederik Ronnow will look after the goal for Union Berlin. In his pro soccer career, Ronnow has allowed 180 goals and has racked up 404 saves in 127 starts. He holds a save percentage of 69.1% and his clean sheet rate is 25.8%%. He has conceded 1.41 goals per 90 while earning a record of 44-36-47. Ronnow has recorded 33 clean sheets while seeing 585 shots against him in 11,508 mins throughout his career.
Jackson Irvine is one player who can help decide the match for St. Pauli. He has 40 assists while earning 122 points in his pro soccer career. The midfielder representing Australia has 41 goals in 33,058 mins played. Irvine has been a starter in 368 matches in his pro soccer career and he has earned 0.11 G/90.
Union Berlin is being led by Christopher Trimmel, who should keep defenses up at night. The defenseman who is from Austria has been on the field for 39,928 professional minutes and has scored 26 goals. He is currently averaging 0.06 goals per 90 minutes and has been in the starting lineup in 441 contests in his career. He has 130 points so far in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 78 times.
Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take St. Pauli (-182)
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