Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction, 5/18/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 5/13/2025

Game: Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao

Date: Sunday, May 18, 2025

Location: Estadio de Mestalla in Valencia, Spain

TV: Fubo

The Lions (17-13-5) are en route to Estadio de Mestalla in Valencia, Spain on Sunday where they will compete against Valencia (11-12-12). Valencia are priced at +150 and the Lions are at -182. The total has been set at 3. The expected starting goaltenders are Giorgi Mamardashvili for Valencia and Unai Simon for Athletic Bilbao.

soccer picks Hugo Duro Valencia predictions best bet odds

Valencia CF has conceded 51 goals while allowing 1.46 goals per 90 min, and the opposition have accounted for 135 shots on target on them. They have accumulated 8 shut outs, which gives them a rate of 22.9% this season. Valencia has accounted for 77 yellow cards this year and also 1 red card. The Ches rank 57th when it comes to goals expected having 41.2, and the squad's xGA are coming in at 48.1. So far this year, this squad sports an average of 1.29 points per contest (45 pts) and also are 72nd in Big 5 soccer with 25 assists. The team's differential on goals is -8 by way of 43 goals scored in addition to 51 goals conceded. Valencia has a total of 85 saves and also have a save rate of 62.2% over the course of the season.

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This year, Athletic Club has a save % of 75.5% (106 shots on target against), and are 14th in Big 5 soccer with 64 pts. The Lions average 1.8 points per match while having 39 assists and 3 red cards. Athletic Bilbao has recorded 51 goals and the team's xG this year is 49.5. Athletic Club has recorded a clean sheet % of 37.1% on the campaign and 62 yellow cards. Their goals against per 90 min is currently at 0.74 with 79 saves, and they have amassed 13 clean sheets. Athletic Club ranks 1st when it comes to goals allowed with 26, and the squad's difference in goals sits at 25.

The man who is expected to defend the goal for Valencia is Giorgi Mamardashvili. Mamardashvili has seen the field for 11,114 minutes and has earned 342 saves so far in his career. His GA/90 is 1.22 (151 total goals allowed) and he has earned a save % of 69.7%. The goalie born in Georgia has had 491 shots tried at him in 124 starting assignments. Mamardashvili (40-36-48 record in his career) has earned 36 clean sheets, which gives him a 29.1%% shutout percentage.

Unai Simon will be residing in front of the goal for Athletic Club. Thus far in his career, Simon has given up 194 goals while earning 454 stops in 197 starts. He is the owner of a save % of 70.7% and his shutout rate sits at 33.8%%. He has conceded 0.99 goals per 90 while he holds a mark of 77-62-58. Simon has racked up 66 clean sheets while he has seen 642 shots attempted against him in 17,558 mins in his career.

Hugo Duro is one man who could help decide the outcome for Valencia. He has totaled 8 assists while accumulating 82 points in his career. The forward hailing from Spain has tallied 37 goals in 10,272 mins. Duro has been given a starting assignment in 112 matches in his career and he tallies 0.32 goals per 90 mins.

Athletic Club features Oihan Sancet, who opposing coaches will have to gameplan for in this fixture. The midfielder representing Spain has accumulated 10,411 minutes and he has scored 40 goals. He is averaging 0.35 goals per 90 mins and has started 126 matches in his career. He has 96 pts in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 16 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Valencia (-182)

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Pick:	Borussia Dortmund -2.5 (-135)
Start:	May 17, 2025 @ 9:30 AM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Comp German Bundesliga Soccer Play from Doc’s Sports. Take Borussia Dortmund -2.5 (-135) over Holstein Kiel (9:30 a.m. EST, Saturday May 17) (Graded after regulation time - 90min - plus injury time) The last time these sides met at Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund, the home side cruised to a 5-0 victory. We feel that there is a great chance we see that type of match here. Dortmund is one point out of Champions League qualification, right behind Freiburg, and three points is crucial here. Holstein Kiel has already been relegated, so they have lost their fighting spirit here and will be preparing for their stint in the second division next season. The home side has won five straight and beat Wolfsburg 4-0 in their last home match. They should have a similar type game here, as they need these points badly and they will not leave anything to chance as they will attack early and often against an overmatched opponent. Read More Read Less

Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction, 5/18/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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