AC Milan vs Atalanta Prediction, 5/10/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 5/9/2026

Game: AC Milan vs Atalanta

Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Milan, Italy

TV: Paramount+

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Milan, Italy is the location where Atalanta (14-13-8) will meet AC Milan (19-10-6) on Sunday. AC Milan are priced at -210 and the Goddess are at +172. The over/under has been set at 3. The men protecting the net are Mike Maignan for AC Milan and Marco Carnesecchi for Atalanta.

soccer picks Rafael Leao AC Milan predictions best bet odds

The Red and Blacks are 1st in expected goals having 22.6, and the team's expected goals against are at 18.7. The Red and Blacks have surrendered 29 goals while giving up 0.83 goals per 90 minutes, and their opponents have 120 SoT against them. The team's difference in goals is at 19 because of 48 goals scored and 29 goals surrendered. They have 15 shut outs, which puts them at a rate of 42.9% this year. AC Milan has accumulated 98 saves and also hold a save% of 75.8% so far this season. AC Milan has earned 56 yellow card warnings over the course of the season in addition to 3 red cards. Over the course of the season, this squad has put together an average of 1.91 pts/match (67 pts) and also have a rank of 5th in Big 5 soccer with 34 assists.

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So far this season, Atalanta B.C. has a save % of 75.4% (130 SoT against), and have a rank of 7th in European soccer with 55 points. The Goddess hold an average of 1.6 pts per match while amassing 31 assists and 2 red cards. Atalanta has amassed 47 goals and their xG on the campaign is at 19.2. Atalanta B.C. has accounted for a clean sheet percentage of 37.1% on the season and 54 yellow card cautions. The club's goals against per 90 is currently at 0.91 with 100 saves, and they have 13 shut outs. Atalanta ranks 6th when talking about goals allowed having 32, and the squad's goal differential is coming in at 15.

The man who is expected to defend the goal for Milan is Mike Maignan. Maignan has seen the field for 27,033 mins and has tallied 769 saves during his pro soccer career. Maignan (162-69-70 record during his soccer career) has tallied 118 clean sheets, which gives him a 39.3%% clean sheet rate. The goalkeeper hailing from France has faced 1,051 shots attempted at him in 301 starts. His goals against per 90 minutes is 0.97 (292 total goals conceded) and he is the owner of a save percentage of 73.2%.

Marco Carnesecchi will reside in front of the net for Atalanta. In his pro soccer career, Carnesecchi has given up 143 goals and has earned 379 saves in 123 starting assignments. He sports a save % of 73.0% and his clean sheet rate is 30.9%%. He has conceded 1.16 goals per 90 minutes and he has earned a record of 52-34-37. Carnesecchi has earned 38 shutouts and defended 519 shots attempted against him in 11,065 minutes in his career.

Rafael Leao is one member of the side you are going to want to keep your eye on for Milan. Leao has had a starting assignment in 235 games in his pro soccer career while he scores 0.38 goals per 90 minutes. The forward representing Portugal has 88 goals scored in 20,869 minutes played. He has totaled 63 assists while accumulating 239 points during his career.

Atalanta stars Nikola Krstovic, who defenders will be preparing for in this game. He has an average of 0.36 goals per 90 mins and has been a starter in 88 contests in his career. The forward born in Montenegro has accumulated 7,705 minutes and has earned 31 goals. He has accumulated 72 pts during his career and has assisted on a goal 10 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atalanta (-210)

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AC Milan vs Atalanta Prediction, 5/10/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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