Fiorentina vs Atalanta Prediction, 5/22/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Fiorentina vs Atalanta
Date: Friday, May 22, 2026
Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi in Florence, Italy
TV: Paramount+
Fiorentina (9-14-14) are welcoming Atalanta (15-13-9) at Stadio Artemio Franchi in Florence, Italy on Friday. Fiorentina are priced at +150 and the Goddess are at -182. The over/under is 3. The goalies expected to start will be David de Gea for Fiorentina and Marco Carnesecchi for Atalanta.

Fiorentina has a total of 119 saves and also hold a save rate of 69.9% over the course of the season. Their differential on goals is at -9 with the help of 40 goals scored and 49 goals given up. So far this season, the club averages 1.11 points per match (41 points) and they also rank 14th in Big 5 soccer with 22 assists. The Purples sit at 18th when it comes to expected goals with 18.2, and their expected goals against are sitting at 20.7. Fiorentina has accounted for 82 yellow cards for the year and also 3 red cards. ACF Fiorentina has relinquished 49 goals while giving up 1.32 goals per 90 min, and the other team have 163 shots on target against them. They have accumulated 10 shut outs, which puts them at a % of 27.0% on the year.
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This season, Atalanta B.C. has a save % of 75.7% (144 SoTA), and also have a rank of 7th among European teams with 58 points. The Goddess are averaging 1.6 points per match while earning 33 assists and 2 red cards. Atalanta has totaled 50 goals and their expected goals for the year is 20.5. Atalanta B.C. has accounted for a clean sheet percentage of 35.1% on the season in addition to 58 yellow cards. Their goals against/90 minutes is currently at 0.95 in addition to 112 saves, and they have earned 13 shut outs. Atalanta has a ranking of 6th in regard to goals given up with 35, and the team's goal differential is 15.
The guy who is expected to defend the goal for Fiorentina is David de Gea. Gea has seen the field for 48,898 mins and has tallied 1,559 stops in his pro soccer career. Gea (278-128-138 mark in his career) has 183 shutouts, which gives him a 33.7%% clean sheet rate. The keeper born in Spain has seen 2,161 shots tried against him in 544 starting assignments. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.13 (614 total goals surrendered) and he has earned a save % of 72.1%.
Marco Carnesecchi will reside in front of the goal for Atalanta. During his professional soccer career, Carnesecchi has given up 146 goals while tallying 391 stops in 125 starts. He holds a save percentage of 73.4% and his shutout rate is 30.4%%. He has allowed 1.17 goals per 90 and he has earned a mark of 53-34-38. Carnesecchi has tallied 38 shutouts and defended 533 shots tried against him in 11,245 career minutes.
Rolando Mandragora is a man who should impact this matchup for Fiorentina. Mandragora has started 287 outings during his soccer career and scores 0.13 goals per 90 mins. The midfielder representing Italy has 37 goals scored in 25,096 mins played. He has totaled 26 assists while earning 100 pts so far in his career.
Atalanta features an attacker in Nikola Krstovic, who should keep defenses up at night. The forward from Montenegro has earned 7,885 mins while earning 31 goals. He scores 0.35 goals per 90 minutes and has started 90 matches so far in his pro soccer career. He has accumulated 73 pts so far in his career and has assisted on a goal 11 times.
Who will win tonight's soccer game ATS?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atalanta (+150)
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