Inter Milan vs AS Roma Prediction, 4/5/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 4/4/2026

Game: Inter Milan vs AS Roma

Date: Sunday, April 5, 2026

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Milan, Italy

TV: Paramount+

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Milan, Italy is where AS Roma (14-0-7) will attempt to defeat Inter Milan (16-1-4) on Sunday. Inter Milan are priced at -144 while AS Roma are at +120. The over/under is 3. The goaltenders protecting the net will be Yann Sommer for Inter Milan and Mile Svilar for AS Roma.

soccer picks Lorenzo Pellegrini AS Roma predictions best bet odds

The Black and Blues have a ranking of 12th for xG with 19.6, and the team's xGA are at 16.3. Inter has conceded 24 goals while surrendering 0.80 goals per 90, and opponents have recorded 82 SoT against them. This team's differential on goals is currently at 42 as a result of 66 goals put in the net in addition to 24 goals conceded. They have accumulated 15 clean sheets, which has them at a % of 50.0% for the season. Internazionale has a total of 59 SVs and hold a save rate of 70.7% for the season. Inter Milan has amassed 51 yellow cards this year. This season, the squad holds an average of 2.30 points per match (69 points) and they also rank 1st in Big 5 soccer with 48 assists.

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This year, Roma has a save percentage of 79.1% (110 SoTA), and also are 6th among Big 5 teams with 54 pts. The Yellow and Reds come in with an average of 1.8 pts per contest while compiling 26 assists and 2 red cards. AS Roma has compiled 40 goals and the squad's expected goals this season is 21.2. Roma has amassed a clean sheet % of 43.3% over the course of the season as well as 57 yellow card warnings. This club's goals against per 90 is at 0.77 with 88 saves, and they have tallied 13 shut outs. Roma is ranked 3rd in the category of goals given up having 23, and their difference in goals is coming in at 17.

The man who is expected to defend the goal for Inter is Yann Sommer. Sommer has defended the goal for 34,587 minutes and is sitting with 1,164 stops during his soccer career. His GA/90 is 1.23 (472 total goals given up) and his save % is 71.1%. The keeper from Switzerland has faced 1,637 shots sent his way in 386 career starts. Sommer (200-84-102 record in his career) has recorded 121 shutouts, which gives him a 31.5%% clean sheet rate.

Mile Svilar will be looking after the net for Roma. Thus far in his career, Svilar has conceded 80 goals and has totaled 270 stops in 86 starts. He holds a save percentage of 77.6% and his clean sheet rate is currently 40.7%%. He has allowed 0.93 goals per 90 minutes while he holds a mark of 45-17-24. Svilar has accumulated 35 clean sheets and has defended 348 shots attempted against him in 7,740 mins in his career.

Hakan Calhanoglu is a footballer who can be a force on the pitch for Inter. Calhanoglu has been a starter in 501 games so far in his pro soccer career while scoring 0.27 goals per 90 mins. The midfielder from Turkey has accumulated 128 goals in 42,064 minutes. He has totaled 110 assists while accumulating 366 points in his pro soccer career.

Roma features a difference maker in Lorenzo Pellegrini, who can change the course of a fixture. He has collected 195 pts in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 59 times. The midfielder hailing from Italy has been on the pitch for 27,037 minutes and has earned 68 goals. He is averaging 0.23 goals per 90 mins and has been given a starting assignment in 314 games during his career.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take AS Roma (-144)

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Pick:	OVER 2.5 (-160)
Start:	April 5, 2026 @ 10:00 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Liga MX Take Guadalajara/Pumas UNAM OVER 2.5 (-160) (10 p.m. EST, Sunday April 5) Guadalajara Chivas have been one of the top defensive sides in Liga MX this season but they showed some cracks defensively last week at Monterrey, where they allowed two goals. It would be tough to keep up the defensive numbers they have earned this season, especially as we near the postseason and some teams are playing their best. One of those sides is Pumas UNAM, now fourth on the table and the third best side for goals scored league wide. They have now scored in 18 straight matches across all competitions, and they will be ready to compete here and make up some ground on No. 1 Chivas. Guadalajara leads the league in goals scored with 25 through 12 matches, so they are averaging more than two per match. Just looking at the odds, Guadalajara is a heavy favorite and very likely to win, but it’s hard to imagine Pumas getting shut out considering their long streak of matches where they scored. Chivas won 2-1 last time these sides met, in October in Mexico City. We think they can do even better at home and Pumas will not be a pushover here. Nice value on the over even when laying some juice. Read More Read Less

Inter Milan vs AS Roma Prediction, 4/5/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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